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1990-2021年全球、区域和国家结直肠癌负担:来自2021年全球疾病负担研究的分析

Global, regional, and national burden of colorectal cancer, 19902021: An analysis from global burden of disease study 2021.

作者信息

Wang Jiachen, He Siyi, Cao Mengdi, Teng Yi, Li Qianru, Tan Nuopei, Wu Yujie, Zuo Tingting, Li Tianyi, Zheng Yuanjie, Xia Changfa, Chen Wanqing

机构信息

Office of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100021, China.

出版信息

Chin J Cancer Res. 2024 Dec 30;36(6):752-767. doi: 10.21147/j.issn.1000-9604.2024.06.12.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Data on the global, regional and national changes in the trends of colorectal cancer (CRC) are analyzed to understand the trends in its burden, in order to assist policymakers in allocating healthcare resources and developing prevention and control strategies.

METHODS

This study analyzed trends in age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for CRC from 1990 to 2021 using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database. The trends of burden and effectiveness of control strategies were assessed using jointpoint regression analysis, decomposition analysis and frontier analysis.

RESULTS

Globally, the ASMR and age-standardized DALYs for CRC have shown a declining trend, but the ASIR was still increasing. The number of new cases of CRC in 2021 was higher in males than in females, the values were 1,263.46 thousands [95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1,146.50, 1,400.38] . 930.68 thousands (95% CI: 824.67, 1,017.65). The change in DALYs was mainly due to population growth (111.42%). The high socio-demographic index (SDI) region had an ASIR of 40.52 (95% CI: 37.45, 42.45), and the low SDI region had an ASIR of 7.39 (95% CI: 6.65, 8.19). The ASIR for CRC showed an upward trend in all SDI regions before age of 40 years. Among the four world regions, only America showed a downward trend in ASIR, with an estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of -0.62 (95% CI: -0.71, -0.53). Among the 204 countries and territories, Netherlands, Monaco, and Bermuda were the top 3 countries with the highest ASIR in 2021. In the frontier analysis of DALYs, the 10 countries with the longest effective distances all had SDI levels above 0.70.

CONCLUSIONS

Although ASMR and age-standardized DALYs are declining, ASIR is still increasing globally and in many regions. The burden of CRC varies significantly across the globe, and more targeted screening strategies and prevention measures are needed to address the problem of CRC.

摘要

目的

分析全球、区域和国家结直肠癌(CRC)趋势的变化数据,以了解其负担趋势,协助政策制定者分配医疗资源并制定预防和控制策略。

方法

本研究使用全球疾病负担(GBD)2021数据库的数据,分析了1990年至2021年CRC的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)、年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)的趋势。使用联合点回归分析、分解分析和前沿分析评估了负担趋势和控制策略的有效性。

结果

在全球范围内,CRC的ASMR和年龄标准化DALYs呈下降趋势,但ASIR仍在上升。2021年CRC新发病例数男性高于女性,分别为126.346万例[95%置信区间(95%CI):114.650,140.038]和93.068万例(95%CI:82.467,101.765)。DALYs的变化主要归因于人口增长(111.42%)。社会人口学指数(SDI)高的地区ASIR为40.52(95%CI:37.45,42.45),SDI低的地区ASIR为7.39(95%CI:6.65,8.19)。40岁之前,所有SDI地区的CRC的ASIR均呈上升趋势。在世界四个区域中,只有美洲的ASIR呈下降趋势,估计年变化百分比(EAPC)为-0.62(95%CI:-0.71,-0.53)。在204个国家和地区中,荷兰、摩纳哥和百慕大是2021年ASIR最高的前三个国家。在DALYs的前沿分析中,有效距离最长的10个国家的SDI水平均高于0.70。

结论

尽管ASMR和年龄标准化DALYs在下降,但全球和许多地区的ASIR仍在上升。CRC的负担在全球范围内差异显著,需要更有针对性的筛查策略和预防措施来解决CRC问题。

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