• 文献检索
  • 文档翻译
  • 深度研究
  • 学术资讯
  • Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
  • 邀请有礼
  • 套餐&价格
  • 历史记录
应用&插件
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
定价
高级版会员购买积分包购买API积分包
服务
文献检索文档翻译深度研究API 文档MCP 服务
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利:CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2026

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法,用中文像聊天一样搜索,搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐,让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版,准确专业,支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式,支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述,25分钟生成高质量综述,智能提取关键信息,辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验

发展中国家肉类和牛奶消费量的不断增加引发了一场新的食品革命。

Rising consumption of meat and milk in developing countries has created a new food revolution.

作者信息

Delgado Christopher L

机构信息

International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, D.C. 20006, USA.

出版信息

J Nutr. 2003 Nov;133(11 Suppl 2):3907S-3910S. doi: 10.1093/jn/133.11.3907S.

DOI:10.1093/jn/133.11.3907S
PMID:14672289
Abstract

People in developing countries currently consume on average one-third the meat and one-quarter of the milk products per capita compared to the richer North, but this is changing rapidly. The amount of meat consumed in developing countries over the past has grown three times as much as it did in the developed countries. The Livestock Revolution is primarily driven by demand. Poor people everywhere are eating more animal products as their incomes rise above poverty level and as they become urbanized. By 2020, the share of developing countries in total world meat consumption will expand from 52% currently to 63%. By 2020, developing countries will consume 107 million metric tons (mmt) more meat and 177 mmt more milk than they did in 1996/1998, dwarfing developed-country increases of 19 mmt for meat and 32 mmt for milk. The projected increase in livestock production will require annual feed consumption of cereals to rise by nearly 300 mmt by 2020. Nonetheless, the inflation-adjusted prices of livestock and feed commodities are expected to fall marginally by 2020, compared to precipitous declines in the past 20 y. Structural change in the diets of billions of people is a primal force not easily reversed by governments. The incomes and nutrition of millions of rural poor in developing countries are improving. Yet in many cases these dietary changes also create serious environmental and health problems that require active policy involvement to prevent irreversible consequences.

摘要

与较富裕的北方国家相比,发展中国家目前人均肉类消费量仅为其三分之一,奶制品消费量仅为其四分之一,但这种情况正在迅速改变。过去,发展中国家的肉类消费量增长幅度是发达国家的三倍。畜牧业革命主要由需求驱动。各地的贫困人口随着收入超过贫困线并实现城市化,正在食用更多的动物产品。到2020年,发展中国家在世界肉类消费总量中的占比将从目前的52%扩大到63%。到2020年,发展中国家的肉类消费量将比1996/1998年增加1.07亿吨,奶制品消费量将增加1.77亿吨,使发达国家肉类增加1900万吨、奶制品增加3200万吨的增幅相形见绌。预计到2020年,畜牧业产量的增长将使谷物饲料的年消费量增加近3亿吨。尽管如此,与过去20年的急剧下降相比,预计到2020年,经通胀调整后的牲畜和饲料商品价格将略有下降。数十亿人的饮食结构变化是一股主要力量,政府不易扭转。发展中国家数百万农村贫困人口的收入和营养状况正在改善。然而,在许多情况下,这些饮食变化也会带来严重的环境和健康问题,需要积极的政策干预来防止不可逆转的后果。

相似文献

1
Rising consumption of meat and milk in developing countries has created a new food revolution.发展中国家肉类和牛奶消费量的不断增加引发了一场新的食品革命。
J Nutr. 2003 Nov;133(11 Suppl 2):3907S-3910S. doi: 10.1093/jn/133.11.3907S.
2
Alternative futures for world cereal and meat consumption.世界谷物和肉类消费的不同未来。
Proc Nutr Soc. 1999 May;58(2):219-34. doi: 10.1017/s0029665199000312.
3
Global production and consumption of animal source foods.动物源食品的全球生产与消费。
J Nutr. 2003 Nov;133(11 Suppl 2):4048S-4053S. doi: 10.1093/jn/133.11.4048S.
4
Economic constraints on production and consumption of animal source foods for nutrition in developing countries.发展中国家动物源食物用于营养的生产和消费所面临的经济制约因素。
J Nutr. 2003 Nov;133(11 Suppl 2):4054S-4061S. doi: 10.1093/jn/133.11.4054S.
5
The livestock revolution--a global veterinary mission.畜牧业革命——全球兽医使命。
Vet Parasitol. 2004 Oct 28;125(1-2):19-41. doi: 10.1016/j.vetpar.2004.05.003.
6
[Brazil: agricultural modernisation and food production restructuring in the international crisis].[巴西:国际危机下的农业现代化与粮食生产结构调整]
Tiers Monde (1960). 1985 Oct-Dec;26(104):879-98.
7
Review: Trends for meat, milk and egg consumption for the next decades and the role played by livestock systems in the global production of proteins.综述:未来几十年肉类、牛奶和鸡蛋消费趋势以及家畜系统在全球蛋白质生产中的作用。
Animal. 2021 Dec;15 Suppl 1:100287. doi: 10.1016/j.animal.2021.100287. Epub 2021 Jul 24.
8
Improving the sustainability of global meat and milk production.提高全球肉类和奶类生产的可持续性。
Proc Nutr Soc. 2017 Feb;76(1):22-27. doi: 10.1017/S0029665116000276. Epub 2016 Jul 15.
9
Urban consumption of meat and milk and its green and blue water footprints-Patterns in the 1980s and 2000s for Nairobi, Kenya.城市的肉奶消费及其绿蓝水足迹——以肯尼亚内罗毕为例,分析 20 世纪 80 年代和 2000 年代的消费模式。
Sci Total Environ. 2017 Feb 1;579:786-796. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.11.027. Epub 2016 Nov 12.
10
Africa: The livestock revolution urbanizes.非洲:畜牧业革命推动城市化进程。
Glob Food Sec. 2020 Sep;26:100399. doi: 10.1016/j.gfs.2020.100399. Epub 2020 Oct 8.

引用本文的文献

1
Observance of the Atlantic Diet in a Healthy Population from Galicia (NW Spain): A Comparative Study Using a New Scale-Based Procedure to Assess Adherence.西班牙西北部加利西亚健康人群对大西洋饮食的遵循情况:一项使用基于新量表程序评估依从性的比较研究
Foods. 2025 Jul 25;14(15):2614. doi: 10.3390/foods14152614.
2
Designing and Developing a Population/Literature-Based Westernized Diet Index (WDI) and Its Relevance for Cardiometabolic Health.设计并开发基于人群/文献的西化饮食指数(WDI)及其与心血管代谢健康的相关性。
Nutrients. 2025 Jul 14;17(14):2314. doi: 10.3390/nu17142314.
3
Exploring the association between socio-economic and environmental factors and food consumption in Iran: insights from time series data.
探索伊朗社会经济和环境因素与食品消费之间的关联:来自时间序列数据的见解
BMC Public Health. 2025 Jul 2;25(1):2289. doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-23437-1.
4
Association of total, plant, and animal protein intake with hypertension among type 2 diabetic patients in Azar cohort population: A cross-sectional study.阿扎尔队列人群中2型糖尿病患者总蛋白、植物蛋白和动物蛋白摄入量与高血压的关联:一项横断面研究。
Health Promot Perspect. 2025 May 6;15(1):54-62. doi: 10.34172/hpp.025.43378. eCollection 2025 May.
5
Application of Genomic Selection in Beef Cattle Disease Prevention.基因组选择在肉牛疾病预防中的应用。
Animals (Basel). 2025 Jan 20;15(2):277. doi: 10.3390/ani15020277.
6
Tracking the correlation of mineral intakes among family pairs over nine years: a longitudinal study.追踪九年期间家庭配对成员间矿物质摄入量的相关性:一项纵向研究。
BMC Nutr. 2025 Jan 20;11(1):15. doi: 10.1186/s40795-025-00995-6.
7
Estimates of optimal supplies of animal-sourced foods differ by food system goal and socioeconomic context.对动物源食物最佳供应量的估计因食物系统目标和社会经济背景而异。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Dec 10;121(50):e2319011121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2319011121. Epub 2024 Dec 2.
8
Global Land Use Change and Its Impact on Greenhouse Gas Emissions.全球土地利用变化及其对温室气体排放的影响。
Glob Chang Biol. 2024 Dec;30(12):e17604. doi: 10.1111/gcb.17604.
9
Fluorescence Entrenched Probe for Onsite Detection of Amoxicillin Residue in Bovine Milk.用于现场检测牛乳中阿莫西林残留的荧光固定探针
J Fluoresc. 2024 Oct 23. doi: 10.1007/s10895-024-03959-4.
10
Characterisation of 3D Printable Filaments Subjected to Edible Liquids: An Analysis of Fused Deposition Modelling for Intraoral Applicability.可3D打印细丝在食用液体中的特性研究:口腔内适用性的熔融沉积建模分析
Int J Dent. 2024 Aug 30;2024:2118412. doi: 10.1155/2024/2118412. eCollection 2024.