Engeland Anders, Bjørge Tone, Tverdal Aage, Søgaard Anne Johanne
Division of Epidemiology, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Epidemiology. 2004 Jan;15(1):79-85. doi: 10.1097/01.ede.0000100148.40711.59.
BACKGROUND There are few long-term follow-up data on the relation between body mass index (BMI) in adolescence and in adulthood, and between adolescent BMI and adult mortality. The present study explores these relations.
In Norwegian health surveys during 1963-1999, height and weight were measured for 128,121 persons in a standardized way both in adolescence (age 14-19 years) and 10 or more years later. Persons were followed for an average of 9.7 years after the adult measurement. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to study the association between adolescent and adult BMI and mortality.
The odds ratio of obesity (BMI >/=30) in adulthood increased steadily with BMI in adolescence, from 0.2 for low BMI up to 16 for very high BMI. Very high adolescent BMI was associated with 30-40% higher adult mortality compared with medium BMI. Adjusting for adult BMI explained most of the association of adolescent obesity and mortality, especially among men. Adjustment for smoking did not change the results.
Obesity in adolescence tends to persist into adulthood. Adolescent obesity is also connected to excess mortality, but this excess seems to be explained mostly by obesity in adulthood. High BMI in adolescence seems to be predictive of both adult obesity and mortality.
背景:关于青少年和成年期体重指数(BMI)之间的关系以及青少年BMI与成人死亡率之间的长期随访数据很少。本研究探讨了这些关系。
在1963年至1999年的挪威健康调查中,对128,121人在青少年期(14至19岁)和10年或更长时间后以标准化方式测量了身高和体重。在成人测量后,对这些人平均随访了9.7年。使用Cox比例风险回归模型研究青少年和成人BMI与死亡率之间的关联。
成年期肥胖(BMI≥30)的比值比随着青少年期BMI的增加而稳步上升,从低BMI的0.2上升到非常高BMI的16。与中等BMI相比,非常高的青少年BMI与成人死亡率高30 - 40%相关。调整成人BMI解释了青少年肥胖与死亡率之间的大部分关联,尤其是在男性中。调整吸烟情况并没有改变结果。
青少年肥胖往往会持续到成年期。青少年肥胖也与过高的死亡率有关,但这种过高的死亡率似乎主要由成年期肥胖所解释。青少年期高BMI似乎可预测成人肥胖和死亡率。