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[间皮瘤风险评估:以巴里市一家石棉水泥生产厂为例]

[Assessment of risk of mesothelioma: the case of an asbestos-cement production plant in the city of Bari].

作者信息

Bilancia Massimo, Cavone Domenica, Pollice Alessio, Musti Marina

机构信息

Dipartimento di scienze statistiche, Università degli Studi di Bari.

出版信息

Epidemiol Prev. 2003 Sep-Oct;27(5):277-84.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

In this paper, by means of explorative methods based on geographical analysis, the relationship between the presence of an asbestos-cement factory in the urban area of Bari and malignant mesothelioma cases, occurring between 1980 and 2001 among residents, is analysed.

METHODS

The data source of the 64 cases studied is the national register of mesotheliomas (Renam), the Apulia regional operating centre (Cor-Puglia). Data are analysed by the use of the S + SpatialStats software.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

Both individual data analysis and explorative geographic analysis point out an increased risk of disease among people living near the asbestos-cement factory: within an area centred on the location of plants and having a radius of about 1 Km, the estimated risk is 2.38 times above the normal level. Further analytical studies are required.

摘要

目的

本文通过基于地理分析的探索性方法,分析了1980年至2001年间巴里市区一家石棉水泥厂的存在与当地居民中发生的恶性间皮瘤病例之间的关系。

方法

所研究的64例病例的数据来源是国家间皮瘤登记处(Renam),普利亚大区运营中心(Cor-Puglia)。使用S + SpatialStats软件对数据进行分析。

结果与讨论

个体数据分析和探索性地理分析均指出,居住在石棉水泥厂附近的人群患病风险增加:在以工厂所在地为中心、半径约1公里的区域内,估计风险比正常水平高2.38倍。还需要进一步的分析研究。

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