Carpenter R G, Irgens L M, Blair P S, England P D, Fleming P, Huber J, Jorch G, Schreuder P
Medical Statistics Unit, Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Lancet. 2004 Jan 17;363(9404):185-91. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(03)15323-8.
After striking changes in rates of sudden unexplained infant death (SIDS) around 1990, four large case-control studies were set up to re-examine the epidemiology of this syndrome. The European Concerted Action on SIDS (ECAS) investigation was planned to bring together data from these and new studies to give an overview of risk factors for the syndrome in Europe.
We undertook case-control studies in 20 regions. Data for more than 60 variables were extracted from anonymised records of 745 SIDS cases and 2411 live controls. Logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) for every factor in isolation, and to construct multivariate models.
Principal risk factors were largely independent. Multivariately significant ORs showed little evidence of intercentre heterogeneity apart from four outliers, which were eliminated. Highly significant risks were associated with prone sleeping (OR 13.1 [95% CI 8.51-20.2]) and with turning from the side to the prone position (45.4 [23.4-87.9]). About 48% of cases were attributable to sleeping in the side or prone position. If the mother smoked, significant risks were associated with bed-sharing, especially during the first weeks of life (at 2 weeks 27.0 [13.3-54.9]). This OR was partly attributable to mother's consumption of alcohol. Mother's alcohol consumption was significant only when baby bed-shared all night (OR increased by 1.66 [1.16-2.38] per drink). For mothers who did not smoke during pregnancy, OR for bed-sharing was very small (at 2 weeks 2.4 [1.2-4.6]) and only significant during the first 8 weeks of life. About 16% of cases were attributable to bed-sharing and roughly 36% to the baby sleeping in a separate room.
Avoidable risk factors such as those associated with inappropriate infants' sleeping position, type of bedding used, and sleeping arrangements strongly suggest a basis for further substantial reductions in SIDS incidence rates.
在1990年前后不明原因婴儿猝死(SIDS)发生率发生显著变化后,开展了四项大型病例对照研究以重新审视该综合征的流行病学情况。欧洲SIDS联合行动(ECAS)调查旨在汇总这些研究及新研究的数据,以概述欧洲该综合征的风险因素。
我们在20个地区开展了病例对照研究。从745例SIDS病例和2411例存活对照的匿名记录中提取了60多个变量的数据。采用逻辑回归单独计算每个因素的比值比(OR),并构建多变量模型。
主要风险因素在很大程度上相互独立。除四个异常值被排除外,多变量显著的OR几乎没有显示出中心间异质性的证据。高度显著的风险与俯卧睡眠(OR 13.1 [95% CI 8.51 - 20.2])以及从侧卧转为俯卧姿势(45.4 [23.4 - 87.9])有关。约48%的病例可归因于侧卧或俯卧睡眠。如果母亲吸烟,与同床睡眠存在显著风险相关,尤其是在生命的最初几周(2周时为27.0 [13.3 - 54.9])。该OR部分归因于母亲饮酒。仅当婴儿整夜与母亲同床时,母亲饮酒才具有显著意义(每饮一杯OR增加1.66 [1.16 - 2.38])。对于孕期不吸烟的母亲,同床睡眠的OR非常小(2周时为2.4 [1.2 - 4.6]),且仅在生命的前8周具有显著意义。约16%的病例可归因于同床睡眠,约36%可归因于婴儿在单独房间睡眠。
与婴儿不适当睡眠姿势、使用的床上用品类型和睡眠安排相关的可避免风险因素强烈表明,SIDS发病率有望进一步大幅降低。