Whynes D K, Walker A R, Hardcastle J D
Department of Economics, University of Nottingham, University Park, United Kingdom.
J Epidemiol Community Health. 1992 Dec;46(6):577-81. doi: 10.1136/jech.46.6.577.
The aim was to estimate costs and yields of faecal occult blood screening and rescreening for colorectal cancer, for differing age cohorts.
Cost and clinical data were used as the basis for modelling the expected costs, and cost savings, resulting from the treatment of screen detected cancers, as compared with cancers detected by symptomatic presentation.
Data were derived from the MRC screening trial currently in progress in Nottingham.
Approximately 140,000 subjects, age 50-79 years, were randomly allocated to a test (screened) and a control (unscreened) group.
The net costs of detecting and treating a cancer following colorectal screening fall as the age of the target population increases, owing principally to the increasing incidence of the disease with age. Generally, the marginal detection and treatment costs falls for all age groups with the first screening round, but rises considerably with the second. If allowance is made for cancers prevented as a result of early detection and excision of adenomas, the costs of screening are substantially reduced for all age groups.
Assuming a cost per QALY (quality adjusted life year gained) equivalent to that derived for the breast cancer screening programme, and a QALY gain from colorectal screening of one year, three screens, each separated by two years, appear economically justified for populations aged 60 years and above. Expected gains from cancer prevention make two screens justifiable for those between 45 and 59 years of age.
旨在估算不同年龄组进行粪便潜血筛查及结直肠癌再次筛查的成本与收益。
成本和临床数据作为模型基础,用于估算因筛查发现癌症而进行治疗所产生的预期成本及成本节约情况,并与有症状表现而发现的癌症进行对比。
数据来源于正在诺丁汉进行的医学研究委员会筛查试验。
约140,000名年龄在50 - 79岁的受试者被随机分为检测组(接受筛查)和对照组(未接受筛查)。
随着目标人群年龄增长,结直肠癌筛查后检测和治疗癌症的净成本下降,这主要是由于该疾病发病率随年龄增加。一般来说,首轮筛查时所有年龄组的边际检测和治疗成本下降,但第二轮筛查时大幅上升。如果考虑到因早期发现并切除腺瘤而预防的癌症,所有年龄组的筛查成本都会大幅降低。
假设每获得一个质量调整生命年(QALY)的成本与乳腺癌筛查项目相当,且结直肠癌筛查可使QALY增加一年,那么对于60岁及以上人群,每两年进行一次,共进行三次筛查在经济上是合理的。对于45至59岁人群,癌症预防带来的预期收益使进行两次筛查是合理的。