Lanphear B P, Buncher C R
Department of Environmental Health, University of Cincinnati, OH.
J Occup Med. 1992 Jul;34(7):718-21.
To estimate the minimal latent period for malignant mesothelioma of occupational origin, we reviewed 21 articles that documented latent periods for malignant mesothelioma, totaling 1690 cases. Of these, 1105 (65%) cases fulfilled the strict histologic and exposure criteria and were included in this analysis. Of these mesotheliomas, 99% had a latent period more than 15 years; 96% had a latent period of at least 20 years; and the observed probability of an occupational exposure within a decade of the first exposure was zero. The estimated median latent period was at least 32 years after the initial exposure. These epidemiologic conclusions are important in determining the source of a specific case of the disease, understanding the natural history of the disease, determining liability, and in aiding in the diagnosis of malignant mesotheliomas of occupational origin.
为了估算职业性恶性间皮瘤的最短潜伏期,我们回顾了21篇记录恶性间皮瘤潜伏期的文章,共计1690例病例。其中,1105例(65%)符合严格的组织学和暴露标准,并纳入本分析。在这些间皮瘤中,99%的潜伏期超过15年;96%的潜伏期至少为20年;首次暴露后十年内发生职业暴露的观察概率为零。估计的中位潜伏期在首次暴露后至少32年。这些流行病学结论对于确定特定病例的疾病来源、了解疾病的自然史、确定责任以及辅助诊断职业性恶性间皮瘤具有重要意义。