Anstey Kaarin J, Hofer Scott M
Centre for Mental Health Research, Australian National University, Canberra ACT 0200, Australia.
Aust N Z J Psychiatry. 2004 Mar;38(3):93-104. doi: 10.1080/j.1440-1614.2004.01343.x.
To outline the strengths and limitations of longitudinal research designs in psychiatry, and to describe different types of longitudinal designs and methods for analyzing longitudinal data.
Key references on longitudinal methods were reviewed and examples drawn from literature in psychiatry and psychology.
Longitudinal studies provide important information regarding the incidence and developmental trajectories of mental disorders. They allow for identification of risk factors and developmental concomitants. Recent developments in statistical methods for analyzing longitudinal data provide efficient estimates of change and predictors of change over time, identification and characteristics of distinct subgroups defined by change pattern, and improved methods for obtaining unbiased population estimates when data are incomplete.
Longitudinal designs, methods and analysis can contribute to psychiatric studies on risk factors for common mental disorders, studies of early intervention and prevention and treatment outcomes.
概述精神病学纵向研究设计的优势与局限性,并描述不同类型的纵向设计以及分析纵向数据的方法。
回顾了关于纵向方法的关键参考文献,并从精神病学和心理学文献中选取了实例。
纵向研究提供了有关精神障碍发病率和发展轨迹的重要信息。它们有助于识别风险因素和发展伴随因素。分析纵向数据的统计方法的最新进展提供了对随时间变化的有效估计以及变化的预测因素,识别由变化模式定义的不同亚组及其特征,以及在数据不完整时获得无偏总体估计的改进方法。
纵向设计、方法和分析可有助于开展关于常见精神障碍风险因素的精神病学研究、早期干预与预防研究以及治疗结果研究。