Hewson Paul
Environment Directorate, Devon County Council, County Hall, Topsham Road, Exeter, UK.
BMC Public Health. 2004 May 10;4:15. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-4-15.
Worldwide, injuries from road traffic collisions are a rapidly growing problem in terms of morbidity and mortality. The UK has amongst the worst records in Europe with regard to child pedestrian safety. A traditional view holds that resources should be directed towards training child pedestrians. In order to reduce socio-economic differentials in child pedestrian casualty rates it is suggested that these should be directed at deprived children. This paper seeks to question whether analysis of extant routinely collected data supports this view.
Routine administrative data on road collisions has been used. A deprivation measure has been assigned to the location where a collision was reported, and the home postcode of the casualty. Aggregate data was analysed using a number of epidemiological models, concentrating on the Generalised Linear Mixed Model.
This study confirms evidence suggesting a link between increasing deprivation and increasing casualty involvement of child pedestrians. However, suggestions are made that it may be necessary to control for the urban nature of an area where collisions occur. More importantly, the question is raised as to whether the casualty rate is more closely associated with deprivation measures of the ward in which the collision occurred than with the deprivation measures of the home address of the child.
Conclusions have to be drawn with great caution. Limitations in the utility of the officially collected data are apparent, but the implication is that the deprivation measures of the area around the collision is a more important determinant of socio-economic differentials in casualty rates than the deprivation measures of the casualties' home location. Whilst this result must be treated with caution, if confirmed by individual level case-controlled studies this would have a strong implication for the most appropriate interventions.
在全球范围内,道路交通事故造成的伤害在发病率和死亡率方面都是一个迅速增长的问题。在儿童行人安全方面,英国在欧洲的记录是最差的之一。传统观点认为,资源应直接用于培训儿童行人。为了减少儿童行人伤亡率中的社会经济差异,有人建议应将这些资源用于贫困儿童。本文旨在质疑对现有常规收集数据的分析是否支持这一观点。
使用了关于道路碰撞的常规行政数据。已为报告碰撞的地点以及伤亡者的家庭邮政编码指定了贫困程度衡量标准。使用多种流行病学模型对汇总数据进行了分析,重点是广义线性混合模型。
本研究证实了有证据表明贫困程度增加与儿童行人伤亡增加之间存在联系。然而,有人提出可能有必要控制碰撞发生地区的城市性质。更重要的是,有人提出疑问,即伤亡率与碰撞发生所在病房的贫困程度衡量标准的关联是否比与儿童家庭住址的贫困程度衡量标准的关联更紧密。
得出结论时必须极其谨慎。官方收集的数据的效用存在明显局限性,但这意味着碰撞周围地区的贫困程度衡量标准比伤亡者家庭所在地的贫困程度衡量标准更能决定伤亡率中的社会经济差异。虽然这一结果必须谨慎对待,但如果个体水平的病例对照研究证实了这一点,那么这将对最合适的干预措施产生重大影响。