Gordi Toufigh, Khamis Harry
Department of Pharmaceutical Biosciences, Division of Pharmacokinetics and Drug Therapy, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Clin Ther. 2004 May;26(5):780-6. doi: 10.1016/s0149-2918(04)90078-1.
The misinterpretation of the results of multiple statistical tests is an error commonly made in scientific literature. When testing several outcome variables simultaneously, many researchers declare a statistically significant result for each test having a P value of <0.05, for example. This approach ignores the fact that, based on a probability result called the Bonferroni inequality, the risk of incorrectly declaring as significant > or =1 test result increases with the number of tests conducted. The implication of this practice is that many scientific results are presented as statistically significant when the underlying data do not adequately support such a claim (sometimes referred to as false-positive results). Although the sequentially rejective Bonferroni test is well known among statisticians, it is not used routinely in scientific literature.
The intent of this article was to increase the awareness and understanding of the sequentially rejective Bonferroni test, thereby expanding its use.
This article describes the statistical problem and demonstrates how the use of the sequentially rejective Bonferroni test ensures that incorrect declarations of statistical significance for > or =1 test result are bounded by 0.05, for example.
The sequentially rejective Bonferroni test is an easily applied, versatile statistical tool that enables researchers to make simultaneous inferences from their data without risking an unacceptably high overall type I error rate.
对多个统计检验结果的错误解读是科学文献中常见的错误。例如,当同时检验多个结果变量时,许多研究人员会将每个P值<0.05的检验结果都宣布为具有统计学显著性。这种方法忽略了这样一个事实,即根据一个名为邦费罗尼不等式的概率结果,错误地将一个或多个检验结果宣布为显著的风险会随着所进行检验的数量增加而上升。这种做法的影响是,当基础数据不足以支持这样的声明时(有时称为假阳性结果),许多科学结果被呈现为具有统计学显著性。尽管顺序拒绝邦费罗尼检验在统计学家中广为人知,但它在科学文献中并未得到常规使用。
本文旨在提高对顺序拒绝邦费罗尼检验的认识和理解,从而扩大其应用。
本文描述了该统计问题,并举例说明了使用顺序拒绝邦费罗尼检验如何确保将一个或多个检验结果错误地宣布为具有统计学显著性的概率被限制在0.05以内。
顺序拒绝邦费罗尼检验是一种易于应用、用途广泛的统计工具,它使研究人员能够从数据中进行同时推断,而不会冒总体I型错误率过高而不可接受的风险。