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1990 - 1998年法国核电站周边儿童白血病发病率

Incidence of childhood leukaemia in the vicinity of nuclear sites in France, 1990-1998.

作者信息

White-Koning M L, Hémon D, Laurier D, Tirmarche M, Jougla E, Goubin A, Clavel J

机构信息

Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale INSERM - U170-IFR69, 16 avenue Paul Vaillant Couturier, 94807 Villejuif Cedex, France.

出版信息

Br J Cancer. 2004 Aug 31;91(5):916-22. doi: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6602068.

Abstract

Overall, 670 cases (O) of childhood leukaemia were diagnosed within 20 km of the 29 French nuclear installations between 1990 and 1998 compared to an expected number (E) of 729.09 cases (O/E=0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI)=[0.85-0.99]). Each of the four areas defined around the sites showed non significant deficits of cases (0-5 km: O=65, O/E=0.87, CI=[0.67-1.10]; 5-10 km: O=165, O/E=0.95, CI=[0.81-1.10]; 10-15 km: O=220, O/E=0.88, CI=[0.77-1.00]; 15-20 km: O=220, O/E=0.96, CI=[0.84-1.10]). There was no evidence of a trend in standardised incidence ratio with distance from the sites for all children or for any of the three age groups studied. Similar results were obtained when the start-up year of the electricity-generating nuclear sites and their electric nuclear power were taken into account. No evidence was found of a generally increased risk of childhood leukaemia around the 29 French nuclear sites under study during 1990-1998.

摘要

总体而言,1990年至1998年期间,在法国29座核设施方圆20公里范围内诊断出670例儿童白血病病例(O),预期病例数(E)为729.09例(O/E = 0.92,95%置信区间(CI)= [0.85 - 0.99])。在这些核设施周围划定的四个区域中,每个区域的病例数均未出现显著不足(0 - 5公里:O = 65,O/E = 0.87,CI = [0.67 - 1.10];5 - 10公里:O = 165,O/E = 0.95,CI = [0.81 - 1.10];10 - 15公里:O = 220,O/E = 0.88,CI = [0.77 - 1.00];15 - 20公里:O = 220,O/E = 0.96,CI = [0.84 - 1.10])。对于所有儿童或所研究的三个年龄组中的任何一个年龄组,均未发现标准化发病率随与核设施距离的变化而呈现出某种趋势。在考虑发电核设施的启动年份及其核电功率时,也获得了类似的结果。在1990 - 1998年期间,在所研究的法国29座核设施周围,未发现儿童白血病总体风险增加的证据。

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