Siqueira João B, Martelli Celina M T, Maciel Ivan J, Oliveira Renato M, Ribeiro Maria G, Amorim Flúvia P, Moreira Bruno C, Cardoso Divina D P, Souza Wayner V, Andrade Ana Lúcia S S
Brazilian Ministry of Health, 7o Andra Sala 715 70 070, 040 Brasilia, DF, Brazil.
Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2004 Nov;71(5):646-51.
Urban dengue fever is now considered a major public health threat in most American countries. A household survey was conducted in the city of Goiania in central Brazil in 2001 to assess prevalence of dengue infection and individual and area-based risk factors. Spatial point pattern analysis was performed using the dual Kernel method. A total of 1,610 households were surveyed; 1,585 individuals more than five years old had blood and data collected. Sera were tested for IgM/IgG antibodies by an enzyme-linked immunoassay. Area-based indicators derived from census data were linked to geocoded residential address. The seroprevalence of dengue was 29.5% and the estimate prevalence surface reached 50% in the outskirts areas. The risk of infection was significantly associated with older age (P < 0.01), low education (odds ratio [OR] = 3.45, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.82-6.55), and low income (OR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.02-1.71) in multivariate analysis. This study highlighted the heterogeneity of dengue transmission within the city and can assist in spatial targeting control interventions.
城市登革热目前被认为是大多数美洲国家的主要公共卫生威胁。2001年在巴西中部的戈亚尼亚市进行了一项家庭调查,以评估登革热感染的流行情况以及个体和基于区域的风险因素。使用双内核方法进行空间点模式分析。共调查了1610户家庭;收集了1585名五岁以上个体的血液和数据。通过酶联免疫吸附测定法检测血清中的IgM/IgG抗体。从人口普查数据得出的基于区域的指标与地理编码的居住地址相关联。登革热的血清阳性率为29.5%,在郊区估计流行率表面达到50%。在多变量分析中,感染风险与年龄较大(P < 0.01)、低教育程度(优势比[OR] = 3.45,95%置信区间[CI] = 1.82 - 6.55)和低收入(OR = 1.32,95% CI = 1.02 - 1.71)显著相关。这项研究突出了城市内登革热传播的异质性,并有助于空间定位控制干预措施。