Lappe Joan, Davies Kennard, Recker Robert, Heaney Robert
Osteoporosis Research Center, Creighton University, Omaha, Nebraska 68131, USA.
J Bone Miner Res. 2005 Apr;20(4):571-8. doi: 10.1359/JBMR.041208. Epub 2004 Dec 6.
QUS measurements were made on 4139 female Army recruits at the beginning of basic training (BT). QUS predicted stress fracture in female recruits as well as it predicts hip fracture in elderly women. Recruits with low QUS values and a history of smoking and not exercising had an extremely high risk of stress fracture.
Stress fractures during basic military training (BT) cause morbidity for the recruits and expense for the Military Services. Females have a higher incidence than males. If recruits at high risk for stress fracture could be accurately identified before they began BT, the military might find it advantageous to provide adaptive training programs for them. Currently no accurate methods of risk identification are available. We measured quantitative ultrasound (QUS) in a population sample of female Army recruits to determine if QUS is a useful tool for determining soldiers at high risk of stress fracture during BT.
We recruited 93% of the population of female recruits entering BT at Fort Leonard Wood, MO, during a 10-month period. We measured calcaneal QUS and administered a risk factor questionnaire at baseline and ascertained stress fractures during the 8 weeks of BT. Logistic regression was used to calculate relative risk (RR) of stress fracture. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was also analyzed to determine the sensitivity and specificity of speed of sound (SOS) in predicting stress fracture.
The incidence of stress fracture was 4.7%. SOS was significantly related to the risk of stress fracture. (p < 0.000) The area under the ROC curve was 0.70. The relative risk (RR) of fracture of those in the lowest quintile (Q1) of SOS was 6.7. The highest risk of stress fracture was found in the subgroup of white women in Q1 of SOS who smoked and didn't exercise (RR, 14.4). Over 16% of the fractures occurred in this subgroup, which indicates that about six of these women would need to be assigned to an alternate BT regimen to prevent one stress fracture.
The combination of QUS measurements with evaluation of individual risk factors can identify recruits who are at the very highest risk of stress fracture. The military may find these data helpful to determine the cost-effectiveness of alternate BT regimens.
在基础训练(BT)开始时,对4139名女性陆军新兵进行了定量超声(QUS)测量。QUS对女性新兵应力性骨折的预测效果与对老年女性髋部骨折的预测效果相当。QUS值低且有吸烟和不运动史的新兵发生应力性骨折的风险极高。
基础军事训练(BT)期间的应力性骨折会给新兵带来发病问题,并给军事部门带来费用支出。女性的发病率高于男性。如果能在新兵开始BT之前准确识别出有应力性骨折高风险的新兵,军方可能会发现为他们提供适应性训练计划是有益的。目前尚无准确的风险识别方法。我们对一组女性陆军新兵样本进行了定量超声(QUS)测量,以确定QUS是否是确定BT期间有应力性骨折高风险士兵的有用工具。
在10个月的时间里,我们招募了密苏里州伦纳德伍德堡进入BT的93%的女性新兵群体。我们在基线时测量了跟骨QUS并发放了风险因素问卷,并在BT的8周期间确定了应力性骨折情况。使用逻辑回归计算应力性骨折的相对风险(RR)。还分析了受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下的面积,以确定声速(SOS)在预测应力性骨折方面的敏感性和特异性。
应力性骨折的发生率为4.7%。SOS与应力性骨折风险显著相关(p < 0.000)。ROC曲线下的面积为0.70。SOS处于最低五分位数(Q1)的人群骨折的相对风险(RR)为6.7。在SOS处于Q1且吸烟且不运动的白人女性亚组中,应力性骨折风险最高(RR,14.4)。超过16%的骨折发生在这个亚组中,这表明大约每六名此类女性需要被分配到替代的BT方案中以预防一次应力性骨折。
QUS测量与个体风险因素评估相结合可以识别出有应力性骨折极高风险的新兵。军方可能会发现这些数据有助于确定替代BT方案的成本效益。