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在美国与墨西哥边境玩猫捉老鼠的游戏。

Playing cat and mouse at the U.S.-Mexican border.

作者信息

Kossoudji S A

机构信息

Department of Economics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor 48109.

出版信息

Demography. 1992 May;29(2):159-80.

PMID:1607046
Abstract

Border control and apprehension activity represents a major element of the Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986. Does apprehending an undocumented migrant deter remigration? If it does not, does it change future migration behavior? I explore these questions by testing hypotheses about the effects of apprehension on the actual and desired length of stay in the United States and on the frequency of migration for undocumented Mexican male migrants. Results suggest that INS policy may well be backfiring. Migrants stay in the United States longer on non-apprehended trips and stay in Mexico for shorter spells between trips to compensate for the cost of a past apprehension.

摘要

边境管控与抓捕行动是1986年《移民改革与控制法案》的一个主要内容。抓捕非法移民会阻止其再次移民吗?如果不会,它会改变未来的移民行为吗?我通过检验关于抓捕对非法墨西哥男性移民在美国实际停留时间和期望停留时间以及移民频率的影响的假设来探讨这些问题。结果表明移民归化局的政策很可能适得其反。移民在未被抓捕的行程中在美国停留的时间更长,并且在往返行程之间在墨西哥停留的时间更短,以弥补过去被抓捕的成本。

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