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2003年法国热浪造成的死亡影响评估总结。

Summary of the mortality impact assessment of the 2003 heat wave in France.

作者信息

Pirard P, Vandentorren S, Pascal M, Laaidi K, Le Tertre A, Cassadou S, Ledrans M

机构信息

Institut de Veille Sanitaire, Département Santé Environnement, Saint-Maurice, France.

出版信息

Euro Surveill. 2005 Jul;10(7):153-6.

Abstract

France experienced a record-breaking heat wave between 2 and 15 August 2003. All the French regions were affected by this heat wave, which resulted in an excess of 14 800 deaths between 1 and 20 August. The increase in the number of excess deaths followed the same pattern as the increase in temperatures. No deviance from the normal death rate was observed in the month of August during the last third of the month, nor during the following three months. There was a clear discrepancy in the impact of the heat wave from city to city. If the effect of duration of consecutive days with high minimal temperatures and deviance with the seasonal normal temperature was patent, this could not explain all of the observed variability of the death incidence. The victims were mainly elderly women older than 75 years. In terms of relative risk and contribution to the global toll, deaths linked to heat were the most important. Based on these results, the French government developed a Heat Health Watch Warning System and set up a preventive action plan for each region in 2004.

摘要

2003年8月2日至15日期间,法国经历了破纪录的热浪。法国所有地区均受到此次热浪影响,8月1日至20日期间导致超过14800人死亡。超额死亡人数的增加与气温升高模式相同。在8月的最后三分之一时间以及随后的三个月中,未观察到死亡率与正常水平有偏差。不同城市受到热浪的影响存在明显差异。虽然连续多日最低气温较高以及与季节性正常温度的偏差所产生的影响是明显的,但这并不能解释所观察到的死亡发生率的所有变异性。受害者主要是75岁以上的老年女性。就相对风险和对全球死亡人数的贡献而言,与高温相关的死亡最为重要。基于这些结果,法国政府于2004年制定了热健康监测预警系统,并为每个地区制定了预防行动计划。

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