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气候变化背景下里昂大都市人口对热浪的生理和社会经济脆弱性比较研究。

A Comparative Study of the Physiological and Socio-Economic Vulnerabilities to Heat Waves of the Population of the Metropolis of Lyon (France) in a Climate Change Context.

机构信息

UMR CNRS 5600 Environment, City and Society, Department of Geography and Spatial Planning University Jean Moulin Lyon 3, Faculty of Geography and Spatial Planning, 69007 Lyon, France.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Feb 5;17(3):1004. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17031004.

Abstract

Increases in the frequency and intensity of heat waves are direct consequences of global climate change with a higher risk for urban populations due to the urban heat island effect. Reducing urban overheating is a priority, as is identifying the most vulnerable people to establish targeted and coordinated public health policies. There are many ways of understanding the concept of vulnerability and multiple definitions and applications exist in the literature. To date, however, nothing has been done on the territory of this study, the metropolis of Lyon (France). The objective is thus to construct two vulnerability indices: physiological, focusing on the organism's capacities to respond to heat waves; and socio-economic, based on the social and economic characteristics and capacities of the community. To this end, two complementary methodologies have been implemented: the AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and the PCA (Principal Component Analysis) with Varimax rotation, respectively. The results were then spatialized to the smallest demographic census unit in France. The areas highlighted differed due to conceptual and methodological differences: the highest physiological vulnerabilities are in the center while the socio-economic ones are in the eastern periphery of the urban area. The location of these areas will enable prevention campaigns to be carried out, targeted according to the publics concerned.

摘要

热浪的频率和强度增加是全球气候变化的直接后果,由于城市热岛效应,城市人口面临更高的风险。减少城市过热是当务之急,确定最脆弱的人群以制定有针对性和协调一致的公共卫生政策也是当务之急。人们可以从多种角度理解脆弱性的概念,文献中存在多种定义和应用。然而,到目前为止,在本研究的区域,里昂大都市(法国)还没有做过任何工作。因此,目的是构建两个脆弱性指数:生理脆弱性,侧重于生物体应对热浪的能力;以及社会经济脆弱性,基于社区的社会和经济特征和能力。为此,实施了两种互补的方法:层次分析法(AHP)和主成分分析(PCA),分别进行方差极大旋转。结果然后在法国最小的人口普查单位进行空间化。由于概念和方法上的差异,突出显示的区域不同:生理脆弱性最高的地区在市中心,而社会经济脆弱性最高的地区在城市东部边缘。这些地区的位置将能够根据有关公众开展预防运动。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/123f/7037270/cd31f8addb8e/ijerph-17-01004-g001.jpg

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