Zhen Lin, Zoebisch Michael A, Chen Guibao, Feng Zhiming
Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Science, P.O. Box 9717, Beijing100101, People's Republic of China.
J Environ Manage. 2006 Jun;79(4):409-19. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2005.08.009. Epub 2005 Dec 5.
To ensure regional self-sufficiency and adequate rural livelihoods in the North China Plain (NCP), tremendous efforts were made over the last two decades by the Chinese government to raise the productivity of crops, despite increasing pressure on the land caused by a growing population. Emphasis was placed on high external input use, especially for wheat, maize and cotton, ignoring the particularities and limitations of the natural resource base. This study assesses the sustainability of current soil fertility management practices on the basis of selected location-specific indicators, such as fertilizer use, soil pH, soil organic matter content, levels of nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P) and potassium (K) in the soil, and identifies determining factors of the yield and environmental impacts of inputs use. Data used for the analysis were gathered from soil tests, groundwater and chive plant tests, household surveys, and statistical yearbooks. Stepwise multiple regression analysis is applied to determine factors affecting the yields. The study revealed unbalanced use of nutrients. Organic fertilizers (manure, crop residues) and K are insufficiently applied, whereas N and P are considerably overused in comparison with recommended doses. The intensive cropping in the area using high-input technologies -particularly fertilizer- has resulted in a remarkable general enhancement of crop productivity and improvement of soil fertility over the years. The yield of wheat and maize has increased 173 and 180 kg ha(-1) annually from 1982 to 2000, respectively and soil fertility status also improved over the years and the values of the selected indicators are within the borderline for sustainability. Irrigation water, FYM application, and total labor used during the cultivation season (with the exception of cotton and chive) for production are the main factors determining the yields of four major crops under study, while popularly and overly used N did not appear to be a significant factor affecting the yield. Its overuse, however, leads to leaching of nitrate into groundwater and nitrate enrichment of vegetables. Of 20 groundwater samples, 16 showed nitrate levels between 55 and 180 mg l(-1), which exceeds recommendations for drinking water (<or=50 mg l(-1)), and 19 out of 20 chive plant samples had nitrate levels more than double the maximum permissible level of 700 mg kg(-1) which causes contamination of groundwater and vegetables. If the current methods of soil fertility management are continued, groundwater and food contamination will increase and jeopardize the sustainability of the current land use systems. Present soil fertility management practices at the farm level are not sustainable. However, there are possibilities to improve farmers' soil fertility management practices, for instance, it is necessary to recommend soil and/or plant testing to adjust fertilizer and/or manure application rates to crops to reduce excessive nutrient input, and to adopt appropriate decision support systems for efficient and sustainable management of production resources.
为确保华北平原实现区域自给自足并维持充足的农村生计,在过去二十年里,尽管人口增长给土地带来了越来越大的压力,但中国政府仍付出了巨大努力来提高作物产量。重点是大量使用外部投入,特别是小麦、玉米和棉花,却忽视了自然资源基础的特殊性和局限性。本研究基于特定地点的选定指标,如肥料使用、土壤pH值、土壤有机质含量、土壤中氮(N)、磷(P)和钾(K)的含量,评估当前土壤肥力管理实践的可持续性,并确定投入使用对产量和环境影响的决定因素。用于分析的数据来自土壤测试、地下水和韭菜植株测试、家庭调查以及统计年鉴。采用逐步多元回归分析来确定影响产量的因素。研究发现养分使用不均衡。有机肥(粪肥、作物残茬)和钾肥施用不足,而与推荐用量相比,氮和磷的使用量大大超标。多年来,该地区采用高投入技术(特别是化肥)进行的集约化种植显著提高了作物产量并改善了土壤肥力。1982年至2000年期间,小麦和玉米的产量分别每年增加173和180公斤/公顷,土壤肥力状况也逐年改善,所选指标的值处于可持续性的临界范围内。灌溉用水、农家肥施用以及种植季节用于生产的总劳动力(棉花和韭菜除外)是决定所研究的四种主要作物产量的主要因素,而普遍且过度使用的氮肥似乎并不是影响产量的重要因素。然而,氮肥的过度使用导致硝酸盐渗入地下水并使蔬菜硝酸盐富集。在20个地下水样本中,有16个样本的硝酸盐含量在55至180毫克/升之间,超过了饮用水推荐标准(≤50毫克/升),在20个韭菜植株样本中,有19个样本的硝酸盐含量超过了700毫克/千克的最大允许水平两倍多,这导致了地下水和蔬菜的污染。如果继续采用当前的土壤肥力管理方法,地下水和食物污染将会增加,并危及当前土地利用系统的可持续性。目前农场层面的土壤肥力管理实践是不可持续的。然而,有改善农民土壤肥力管理实践的可能性,例如,有必要建议进行土壤和/或植株测试,以根据作物调整化肥和/或粪肥施用量,减少过量养分投入,并采用适当的决策支持系统来高效且可持续地管理生产资源。