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用于放射性废物处置安全评估的五种特定场地生物圈模型的开发与比较

Development and comparison of five site-specific biosphere models for safety assessment of radioactive waste disposal.

作者信息

Pröhl G, Olyslaegers G, Kanyar B, Pinedo P, Bergström U, Mobbs S, Eged K, Katona T, Simón I, Hallberg U B, Chen Q, Kowe R, Zeevaert T

机构信息

GSF-National Research Center for Environment and Health, Ingolstädter Landstrabe 1, D-85764 Neuherberg, Germany.

出版信息

J Radiol Prot. 2005 Dec;25(4):343-73. doi: 10.1088/0952-4746/25/4/001. Epub 2005 Dec 5.

DOI:10.1088/0952-4746/25/4/001
PMID:16352869
Abstract

This paper describes the development and application of site-specific biosphere models that might be used for assessment of potential exposures in the framework of performance assessment studies of nuclear waste disposals. Model development follows the Reference Biosphere Methodology that has been set up in the framework of the BIOMASS study. In this paper, the application is to real sites at five European locations for which environmental and agricultural conditions have been described and characterised. For each of the sites a biosphere model has been developed specifically assuming a release of radionuclides to waters that are used by humans, for example as drinking water for humans and cattle and as irrigation water. Among the ingestion pathways, the intakes of drinking water, cereals, leafy vegetables, potatoes, milk, beef and freshwater fish are included in all models. Annual individual doses were calculated, and uncertainties in the results were estimated by means of stochastic calculations. To enable a comparison, all results were normalised to an activity concentration in groundwater of 1 Bq m(-3) for each of the radionuclides considered ((36)Cl, (79)Se, (99)Tc, (129)I, (135)Cs, (226)Ra, (231)Pa, (230)Th, (237)Np, (239)Pu, and (238)U), i.e. those that are usually most relevant in performance assessment studies of nuclear waste disposals. Although the results do not give answers in absolute terms on potential future exposures, they indicate the spectrum of exposures that might occur in different environments and specify the interaction of environmental conditions, human habits and potential exposure.

摘要

本文描述了特定场地生物圈模型的开发与应用,这些模型可用于在核废物处置性能评估研究框架内评估潜在暴露。模型开发遵循在BIOMASS研究框架内建立的参考生物圈方法。在本文中,应用于欧洲五个地点的实际场地,这些场地的环境和农业条件已得到描述和表征。针对每个场地专门开发了一个生物圈模型,假设放射性核素释放到人类使用的水体中,例如作为人类和牲畜的饮用水以及灌溉用水。在摄入途径中,所有模型都包括饮用水、谷物、叶菜类蔬菜、土豆、牛奶、牛肉和淡水鱼的摄入量。计算了年度个人剂量,并通过随机计算估计了结果的不确定性。为了便于比较,所有结果都针对所考虑的每种放射性核素((36)Cl、(79)Se、(99)Tc、(129)I、(135)Cs、(226)Ra、(231)Pa、(230)Th、(237)Np、(239)Pu和(238)U)在地下水中的活度浓度为1 Bq m(-3)进行了归一化,即那些在核废物处置性能评估研究中通常最相关的放射性核素。尽管结果并未给出关于潜在未来暴露的绝对答案,但它们表明了在不同环境中可能发生的暴露范围,并明确了环境条件、人类习惯和潜在暴露之间的相互作用。

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