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人口老龄化与癌症:一个跨国关注的问题。

Population aging and cancer: a cross-national concern.

作者信息

Yancik Rosemary

机构信息

National Institute on Aging, NIH, NDHHS, Bethesda, Maryland 20892-9205, USA.

出版信息

Cancer J. 2005 Nov-Dec;11(6):437-41. doi: 10.1097/00130404-200511000-00002.

Abstract

Although malignant tumors occur at all ages, cancer disproportionately strikes individuals in the age group 65 years and older. Data from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program for the most recent five-year period, 1998-2002, reveal that 56% of all newly diagnosed cancer patients and 71% of cancer deaths are in this age group. Median ages of cancer patients at death for the major tumors common to both males and females, all races (lung, colorectal, lymphoma, leukemia, pancreas, stomach, urinary bladder) range from 71 to 77 years. The median age for prostate cancer is 79 years; for ovarian and female breast cancer, the median age is 71 for each tumor. These cancer statistics when cast against the demographic changes occurring in the U.S. population take on urgency and importance for cancer treatment and care in our nation's health care system. The U.S. Census Bureau demographic projections indicate that the number of persons 65 years and older in the United States will double from the current estimate of 35 million persons to a projected 70 million by 2030. Barring any cancer prevention breakthroughs, the expansion of the aged population will likely increase the absolute number of older individuals diagnosed and treated for cancer in coming decades. The United States is not unique as an aging developed industrial nation with a high proportion of the cancer burden in the elderly. Other developed industrial countries have a potentiality for increased cancer incidence and mortality as their populations grow older. This paper, using U.S. Bureau of Census demographic projections and current age standardized death rates per 100,000 population (from Worldwide Cancer Mortality Statistics, Cancer Mondial, WHO, and the International Association for Research on Cancer) compares cancer in the elderly in Italy and the United States. Italy is demographically ranked as the oldest nation in the world. Dimensions of the cancer burden challenge ahead are inferred in the context of two countries with aging populations to underscore the possible increase that demographic factors may have on the magnitude of the cancer problem for older persons in the next 25 years.

摘要

尽管恶性肿瘤可发生于所有年龄段,但癌症对65岁及以上年龄组人群的侵袭尤为严重。美国国立癌症研究所监测、流行病学和最终结果计划提供的最近五年(1998 - 2002年)的数据显示,所有新诊断癌症患者中有56%以及癌症死亡患者中有71%属于这个年龄组。男性和女性、所有种族(肺癌、结直肠癌、淋巴瘤、白血病、胰腺癌、胃癌、膀胱癌)的主要常见肿瘤患者死亡的中位年龄在71岁至77岁之间。前列腺癌的中位年龄为79岁;卵巢癌和女性乳腺癌的中位年龄均为71岁。这些癌症统计数据与美国人口中正在发生的人口结构变化相比,对于我国医疗保健系统中的癌症治疗和护理具有紧迫性和重要性。美国人口普查局的人口预测表明,美国65岁及以上的人口数量将从目前估计的3500万翻倍至2030年预计的7000万。除非有任何癌症预防方面的突破,老年人口的增加可能会在未来几十年增加被诊断和治疗癌症的老年人的绝对数量。作为一个老龄化的发达工业国家,老年人癌症负担比例较高,美国并非个例。随着其他发达工业国家人口老龄化,其癌症发病率和死亡率也有可能上升。本文利用美国人口普查局的人口预测以及每10万人口的当前年龄标准化死亡率(来自世界卫生组织《世界癌症死亡率统计》、《癌症世界》以及国际癌症研究协会),对意大利和美国老年人的癌症情况进行了比较。意大利在人口结构上被列为世界上最老龄化的国家。在两个老龄化人口国家的背景下推断未来癌症负担挑战的规模,以强调人口因素在未来25年可能对老年人癌症问题严重程度产生的潜在增加。

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