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斯塔福德和沃尔对威慑力概念的重新阐释在一群惯犯酒后驾车者中的应用。

An application of Stafford and Warr's reconceptualisation of deterrence to a group of recidivist drink drivers.

作者信息

Freeman James, Watson Barry

机构信息

Centre for Accident Research and Road Safety-Queensland (CARRS-Q), School of Psychology and Counselling, Faculty of Health, Queensland University of Technology, Carseldine, Australia.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2006 May;38(3):462-71. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2005.11.001. Epub 2006 Jan 6.

Abstract

Recent revisions of deterrence theory have highlighted the powerful effects of personal and vicarious punishment avoidance on criminal activity. The present paper reports on an application of Stafford and Warr's [Stafford, M.C., Warr, M., 1993. A reconceptualization of general and specific deterrence. J. Res. Crime Delinq. 30 (2), 123-135] reconceptualisation of deterrence theory to a group of recidivist drink drivers to explain their self-reported offending behaviours. The analysis indicated that punishment avoidance exerted the greatest influence on self-reported offending behaviours, although perceptions of arrest certainty and severity also appear associated with drink driving offences. In contrast, vicarious exposure to others who have been punished or avoided punishment was not associated with further drink driving behaviours. The results suggest that recidivist drink drivers are not heavily influenced by vicarious experiences, and that past behaviour is an efficient predictor of future behaviour. The findings have direct implications for the reconceptualisation and application of deterrence models to elucidate offending behaviours.

摘要

威慑理论的近期修订突出了避免个人惩罚和替代性惩罚对犯罪活动的强大影响。本文报告了将斯塔福德和沃尔 [斯塔福德,M.C.,沃尔,M.,1993 年。对一般威慑和特殊威慑的重新概念化。《犯罪与违法行为研究杂志》30 (2),123 - 135] 对威慑理论的重新概念化应用于一组累犯酒后驾车者,以解释他们自我报告的犯罪行为。分析表明,避免惩罚对自我报告的犯罪行为影响最大,尽管对被捕确定性和严重性的认知似乎也与酒后驾车犯罪有关。相比之下,可以看到他人受到惩罚或避免惩罚,这与进一步的酒后驾车行为无关。结果表明累犯酒后驾车者不太受替代性经历的影响,而且过去的行为是未来行为的有效预测指标。这些发现对威慑模型的重新概念化和应用以阐明犯罪行为具有直接影响。

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