Ross J D, Scott G R
Department of Genitourinary Medicine, Edinburgh Royal Infirmary, Scotland.
Eur J Epidemiol. 1992 Mar;8(2):252-5. doi: 10.1007/BF00144809.
Seasonal variations in the incidence of gonorrhoea were observed in the 1970's with a peak in the third quarter of the year and a trough in the first and fourth quarters. The aim of this study was to determine what, if any, seasonal trends were present in Scotland and Lothian between 1984 and 1989 and postulate mechanisms to explain our observations. We observed a change in the previously reported pattern with regular peaks of infection in the first and third quarters of the year for Scotland but no regular trend in the Lothian region. The most likely explanation for the observed trends are changes in sexual behaviour related to summer vacations and seasonal work patterns but other unidentified factors probably also contribute.
20世纪70年代观察到淋病发病率存在季节性变化,一年中的第三季度为发病高峰期,第一和第四季度为低谷期。本研究的目的是确定1984年至1989年期间苏格兰和洛锡安地区是否存在季节性趋势,并推测解释我们观察结果的机制。我们观察到先前报告的模式发生了变化,苏格兰在一年中的第一和第三季度出现了感染的规律性高峰,但洛锡安地区没有规律性趋势。观察到的趋势最可能的解释是与暑假和季节性工作模式相关的性行为变化,但其他未确定的因素可能也有影响。