Donaldson Amy E, Cook Lawrence J, Hutchings Caroline B, Dean J Michael
Department of Pediatrics, Intermountain Injury Control Research Center, University of Utah School of Medicine, 295 Chipeta Way, PO Box 581289, Salt Lake City, 84158-0289, USA.
Accid Anal Prev. 2006 Jul;38(4):723-7. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2006.01.002. Epub 2006 Feb 14.
Studies have demonstrated that the fatality risk for motor vehicle crashes (MVCs) is higher in rural than urban areas. The purpose of this study was to quantify the risk of a fatal outcome associated with a crash by the urban/rural classification of the driver's county of residence and the county of crash before and after adjusting for potentially confounding factors.
County of crash and driver's county of residence were classified as urban or rural for 514,648 Utah crash participants. Multivariate regression analysis was used to assess the impact of rural versus urban crash location on fatality outcomes for both urban and rural drivers.
Before adjusting for confounding factors the relative risk of fatality in a rural versus urban crash was 9.7 (95% CI: 8.0-11.7) for urban drivers and their passengers compared to 1.8 (95% CI: 1.3-2.6) for rural residents. Adjustment for behavioral, road, and crash characteristics reduced risk estimates to 2.8 (95% CI: 2.2-3.5) and 1.2 (95% CI: 0.8-1.7), respectively.
Urban and rural drivers may have distinct risk factors for MVC fatality in rural areas. Interventions to reduce the risk of fatality in rural areas should evaluate the needs of both urban and rural drivers.
研究表明,机动车碰撞事故(MVC)的死亡风险在农村地区高于城市地区。本研究的目的是在调整潜在混杂因素前后,根据驾驶员居住县和碰撞发生县的城乡分类,量化与碰撞相关的致命结局风险。
对514,648名犹他州碰撞事故参与者的碰撞发生县和驾驶员居住县进行城乡分类。采用多变量回归分析评估农村与城市碰撞地点对城乡驾驶员死亡结局的影响。
在调整混杂因素之前,城市驾驶员及其乘客在农村碰撞事故中死亡的相对风险为9.7(95%可信区间:8.0 - 11.7),而农村居民为1.8(95%可信区间:1.3 - 2.6)。对行为、道路和碰撞特征进行调整后,风险估计分别降至2.8(95%可信区间:2.2 - 3.5)和1.2(95%可信区间:0.8 - 1.7)。
城乡驾驶员在农村地区发生机动车碰撞事故致死可能有不同的风险因素。降低农村地区死亡风险的干预措施应评估城乡驾驶员双方的需求。