Kilpatrick A Marm, Kramer Laura D, Jones Matthew J, Marra Peter P, Daszak Peter
The Consortium for Conservation Medicine, New York, New York, United States of America.
PLoS Biol. 2006 Apr;4(4):e82. doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.0040082. Epub 2006 Feb 28.
West Nile virus (WNV) has caused repeated large-scale human epidemics in North America since it was first detected in 1999 and is now the dominant vector-borne disease in this continent. Understanding the factors that determine the intensity of the spillover of this zoonotic pathogen from birds to humans (via mosquitoes) is a prerequisite for predicting and preventing human epidemics. We integrated mosquito feeding behavior with data on the population dynamics and WNV epidemiology of mosquitoes, birds, and humans. We show that Culex pipiens, the dominant enzootic (bird-to-bird) and bridge (bird-to-human) vector of WNV in urbanized areas in the northeast and north-central United States, shifted its feeding preferences from birds to humans by 7-fold during late summer and early fall, coinciding with the dispersal of its preferred host (American robins, Turdus migratorius) and the rise in human WNV infections. We also show that feeding shifts in Cx. tarsalis amplify human WNV epidemics in Colorado and California and occur during periods of robin dispersal and migration. Our results provide a direct explanation for the timing and intensity of human WNV epidemics. Shifts in feeding from competent avian hosts early in an epidemic to incompetent humans after mosquito infection prevalences are high result in synergistic effects that greatly amplify the number of human infections of this and other pathogens. Our results underscore the dramatic effects of vector behavior in driving the transmission of zoonotic pathogens to humans.
自1999年首次被发现以来,西尼罗河病毒(WNV)已在北美多次引发大规模的人类疫情,如今它是该大陆主要的媒介传播疾病。了解决定这种人畜共患病原体从鸟类(通过蚊子)传播给人类的溢出强度的因素,是预测和预防人类疫情的先决条件。我们将蚊子的取食行为与蚊子、鸟类和人类的种群动态及西尼罗河病毒流行病学数据相结合。我们发现,在美国东北部和中北部城市化地区,西尼罗河病毒主要的动物间传播(鸟类到鸟类)和桥梁传播(鸟类到人类)媒介致倦库蚊,在夏末和初秋期间将其取食偏好从鸟类转向人类的幅度达7倍,这与它偏好的宿主(美洲知更鸟,旅鸫)的扩散以及人类西尼罗河病毒感染病例的增加相吻合。我们还表明,西部马脑炎病毒在科罗拉多州和加利福尼亚州会加剧人类西尼罗河病毒疫情,且这种取食转变发生在知更鸟扩散和迁徙期间。我们的研究结果直接解释了人类西尼罗河病毒疫情的时间和强度。在疫情早期,从有传播能力的鸟类宿主取食转向蚊子感染率高后无传播能力的人类,这种转变会产生协同效应,极大地增加这种病原体及其他病原体的人类感染数量。我们的研究结果强调了媒介行为在推动人畜共患病原体向人类传播方面的巨大影响。