Zeka Ariana, Zanobetti Antonella, Schwartz Joel
Environmental Health Department, Harvard School of Public Health, 401 Park Drive, Suite 415 West, Boston, MA 02215, USA.
Am J Epidemiol. 2006 May 1;163(9):849-59. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwj116. Epub 2006 Mar 22.
Consistent evidence has shown a positive association between particulate matter with an aerodiameter of less than or equal to 10 mum (PM(10)) and daily mortality. Less is known about the modification of this association by factors measured at the individual level. The authors examined this question in a case-crossover study of 20 US cities. Mortality events (1.9 million) were obtained for nonaccidental, respiratory, heart disease, and stroke mortality between 1989 and 2000. PM(10) concentrations were obtained from the US Environmental Protection Agency. The authors examined the modification of the PM(10)-mortality association by sociodemographics, location of death, season, and secondary diagnoses. They found different patterns of PM(10)-mortality associations by gender and age but no differences by race. The level of education was inversely related to the risk of mortality associated with PM(10). PM(10)-related, out-of-hospital deaths were more likely than were in-hospital deaths, as were those occurring during spring/fall versus summer/winter. A secondary diagnosis of diabetes modified the effect of PM(10) for respiratory and stroke mortality. Pneumonia was a positive effect modifier for deaths from all causes and stroke, while secondary stroke modified the effects for all-cause and respiratory deaths. The findings suggest that more attention must be paid to population characteristics to identify greater likelihood of exposures and susceptibility and, as a result, to improve policy making for air pollution standards.
一致的证据表明,空气动力学直径小于或等于10微米的颗粒物(PM10)与每日死亡率之间存在正相关。关于个体层面测量的因素对这种关联的影响,人们了解得较少。作者在美国20个城市的病例交叉研究中探讨了这个问题。获取了1989年至2000年期间非意外、呼吸系统、心脏病和中风死亡率的死亡事件(190万例)。PM10浓度数据来自美国环境保护局。作者研究了社会人口统计学、死亡地点、季节和二次诊断对PM10与死亡率关联的影响。他们发现,PM10与死亡率的关联模式因性别和年龄而异,但种族之间没有差异。教育水平与PM10相关的死亡风险呈负相关。与医院内死亡相比,与PM10相关的院外死亡更有可能发生,春季/秋季发生的死亡比夏季/冬季发生的死亡更有可能。糖尿病的二次诊断改变了PM10对呼吸系统和中风死亡率的影响。肺炎是所有原因和中风死亡的正向效应修饰因素,而二次中风改变了全因和呼吸系统死亡的效应。研究结果表明,必须更加关注人群特征,以确定更高的暴露可能性和易感性,从而改进空气污染标准的政策制定。