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骨骼、噪音与人口增长:一场旧有争论的终结?

Skeletons, noise and population growth: the end of an old debate?

作者信息

Coulson Tim, Rohani Pejman, Pascual Mercedes

机构信息

Department of Biological Sciences, Imperial College, Silwood Park, Ascot, Berks, UK, SL5 7PY.

出版信息

Trends Ecol Evol. 2004 Jul;19(7):359-64. doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2004.05.008.

Abstract

Population dynamics models remain largely deterministic, although the presence of random fluctuations in nature is well recognized. This deterministic approach is based on the implicit assumption that systems can be separated into a deterministic part that captures the essential features of the system and a random part that can be neglected. But is it possible, in general, to understand population dynamics without the explicit consideration of random fluctuations? Here, we suggest perhaps not, and argue that the dynamics of many systems are a result of interactions between the deterministic nonlinear skeleton and noise.

摘要

种群动态模型在很大程度上仍然是确定性的,尽管自然界中随机波动的存在已得到广泛认可。这种确定性方法基于一个隐含假设,即系统可以分为一个捕捉系统基本特征的确定性部分和一个可以忽略的随机部分。但一般来说,在不明确考虑随机波动的情况下,是否有可能理解种群动态呢?在这里,我们认为可能不行,并认为许多系统的动态是确定性非线性框架与噪声之间相互作用的结果。

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