Wu Grace Hui-Min, Wang Yi-Ming, Yen Amy Ming-Fang, Wong Jau-Min, Lai Hsin-Chih, Warwick Jane, Chen Tony Hsiu-Hsi
Graduate Institute of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
BMC Cancer. 2006 May 24;6:136. doi: 10.1186/1471-2407-6-136.
The aim of this study is to compare the cost-effectiveness of screening with stool DNA testing with that of screening with other tools (annual fecal occult blood testing, flexible sigmoidoscopy every 5 years, and colonoscopy every 10 years) or not screening at all.
We developed a Markov model to evaluate the above screening strategies in the general population 50 to 75 years of age in Taiwan. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the influence of various parameters on the cost-effectiveness of screening. A third-party payer perspective was adopted and the cost of dollar 13,000 per life-year saved (which is roughly the per capita GNP of Taiwan in 2003) was chosen as the ceiling ratio for assessing whether the program is cost-effective.
Stool DNA testing every three, five, and ten years can reduce colorectal cancer mortality by 22%, 15%, and 9%, respectively. The associated incremental costs were dollar 9,794, dollar 9,335, and dollar 7,717, per life-year saved when compared with no screening. Stool DNA testing strategies were the least cost-effective with the cost per stool DNA test, referral rate with diagnostic colonoscopy, prevalence of large adenoma, and discount rate being the most influential parameters.
In countries with a low or intermediate incidence of colorectal cancer, stool DNA testing is less cost-effective than the other currently recommended strategies for population-based screening, particularly targeting at asymptomatic subjects.
本研究旨在比较粪便DNA检测筛查与其他筛查工具(每年进行粪便潜血检测、每5年进行一次乙状结肠镜检查以及每10年进行一次结肠镜检查)或不进行任何筛查的成本效益。
我们建立了一个马尔可夫模型,以评估上述筛查策略在台湾50至75岁普通人群中的效果。进行敏感性分析以评估各种参数对筛查成本效益的影响。采用第三方支付者的视角,并选择每挽救一个生命年13000美元的成本(大致为2003年台湾的人均国民生产总值)作为评估该项目是否具有成本效益的上限比率。
每三年、五年和十年进行一次粪便DNA检测分别可将结直肠癌死亡率降低22%、15%和9%。与不进行筛查相比,每挽救一个生命年相关的增量成本分别为9794美元、9335美元和7717美元。粪便DNA检测策略的成本效益最低,其中每次粪便DNA检测的成本、诊断性结肠镜检查的转诊率、大腺瘤的患病率以及贴现率是最具影响力的参数。
在结直肠癌发病率低或中等的国家,粪便DNA检测在基于人群的筛查中,尤其是针对无症状受试者的筛查中,成本效益低于目前推荐的其他策略。