肯尼亚和乌干达境内沿跨非洲公路的艾滋病毒性传播估计:预防在高危人群中持续发挥的作用。

Estimation of the sexual transmission of HIV in Kenya and Uganda on the trans-Africa highway: the continuing role for prevention in high risk groups.

作者信息

Morris C N, Ferguson A G

机构信息

University of Manitoba, Manitoba, Canada.

出版信息

Sex Transm Infect. 2006 Oct;82(5):368-71. doi: 10.1136/sti.2006.020933. Epub 2006 Jul 19.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To explore the effect of transactional sex on the trans-Africa highway from Mombasa-Kampala in contributing to the HIV epidemic and the impact that an effective prevention intervention could have.

METHODS

Variables for input into a simple model of HIV prevention, AVERT, were derived from a study of hot spots of transactional sex on the trans-Africa highway. Diaries were completed by a sample of sex workers at selected sites of transactional sex for a period of 28 consecutive days. Key information elicited included numbers, types and occupations of clients, numbers of liaisons, sexual acts in each liaison, and condom use. 857 diaries were distributed and 578 received and usable in 30 sites. A sexual patterning matrix was completed by 202 truckers at the Malaba border point as part of a health seeking behaviour survey. Two methods were employed to estimate female sex worker (FSW) numbers on the highway. FSW focus group discussions (FGDs) at 15 sites were carried out and included questioning on the number of sex workers at the site. As most transactional sex on the highway is centred on bars and lodgings, a patron census and survey of 1007 bars and lodgings was carried out which included questions on the presence and proportions of FSWs among the clientele.

RESULTS

There are an estimated 8000 FSWs on the trans-Africa highway from Mombasa to Kampala. Annual numbers of different sexual partners per FSW were 129, annual numbers of sexual acts per FSW were 634, percentage of sexual acts protected by condom use was 77.7%. Using these input data an estimated 3200-4148 new HIV infections occur on this portion of the trans-Africa highway in 1 year. Having a 90% condom use programme in place could prevent almost two thirds of these infections and cumulative incidence would decline from 1.29% to 0.42%.

CONCLUSIONS

In generalised epidemics there has been a debate as to the place of targeted interventions. In the current east African epidemic we show that a targeted intervention could have significant impact in averting HIV infections related to the trans-Africa highway.

摘要

目的

探讨蒙巴萨至坎帕拉的跨非洲公路上的性交易对艾滋病流行的影响,以及有效预防干预措施可能产生的作用。

方法

用于输入艾滋病预防简单模型AVERT的变量,源自对跨非洲公路上性交易热点的一项研究。在选定的性交易场所,抽取一部分性工作者连续28天填写日记。获取的关键信息包括嫖客的数量、类型和职业、性接触次数、每次性接触中的性行为以及避孕套使用情况。共发放857本日记,在30个场所收回并可用的有578本。作为健康寻求行为调查的一部分,202名卡车司机在马拉巴边境点完成了一份性模式矩阵。采用两种方法估算公路上女性性工作者(FSW)的数量。在15个场所开展了女性性工作者焦点小组讨论(FGD),其中包括询问该场所性工作者的数量。由于公路上的大多数性交易集中在酒吧和旅店,因此对1007家酒吧和旅店进行了顾客普查和调查,其中包括询问顾客中性工作者的存在情况和比例。

结果

据估计,从蒙巴萨到坎帕拉的跨非洲公路上有8000名女性性工作者。每名女性性工作者每年不同性伴侣的数量为129人,每名女性性工作者每年性行为的次数为634次,使用避孕套保护的性行为比例为77.7%。利用这些输入数据,估计在跨非洲公路的这一路段上,每年有3200 - 4148例新的艾滋病病毒感染发生。实施90%的避孕套使用计划可预防近三分之二的此类感染,累积发病率将从1.29%降至0.42%。

结论

在艾滋病广泛流行的情况下,对于有针对性干预措施的作用存在争议。在当前东非的艾滋病流行中,我们表明有针对性的干预措施在避免与跨非洲公路相关的艾滋病病毒感染方面可能产生重大影响。

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