Morgenstern V, Zutavern A, Cyrys J, Brockow I, Gehring U, Koletzko S, Bauer C P, Reinhardt D, Wichmann H-E, Heinrich J
GSF National Research Center for Environment and Health, Institute of Epidemiology, Neuherberg, Germany.
Occup Environ Med. 2007 Jan;64(1):8-16. doi: 10.1136/oem.2006.028241. Epub 2006 Aug 15.
To estimate long-term exposure to traffic-related air pollutants on an individual basis and to assess adverse health effects using a combination of air pollution measurement data, data from geographical information systems (GIS) and questionnaire data.
40 measurement sites in the city of Munich, Germany were selected at which to collect particulate matter with a 50% cut-off aerodynamic diameter of 2.5 microm (PM2.5) and to measure PM2.5 absorbance and nitrogen dioxide (NO2). A pool of GIS variables (information about street length, household and population density and land use) was collected for the Munich metropolitan area and was used in multiple linear regression models to predict traffic-related air pollutants. These models were also applied to the birth addresses of two birth cohorts (German Infant Nutritional Intervention Study (GINI) and Influence of Life-style factors on the development of the Immune System and Allergies in East and West Germany (LISA)) in the Munich metropolitan area. Associations between air pollution concentrations at birth address and 1-year and 2-year incidences of respiratory symptoms were analysed.
The following means for the estimated exposures to PM2.5, PM2.5 absorbance and NO2 were obtained: 12.8 microg/m3, 1.7x10(-5) m(-1) and 35.3 mug/m3, respectively. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for wheezing, cough without infection, dry cough at night, bronchial asthma, bronchitis and respiratory infections indicated positive associations with traffic-related air pollutants. After controlling for individual confounders, significant associations were found between the pollutant PM2.5 and sneezing, runny/stuffed nose during the first year of life (OR 1.16, 95% confidence interval 1.01 to 1.34) Similar effects were observed for the second year of life. These findings are similar to those from our previous analysis that were restricted to a subcohort in Munich city. The extended study also showed significant effects for sneezing, running/stuffed nose. Additionally, significant associations were found between NO2 and dry cough at night (or bronchitis) during the first year of life. The variable "living close to major roads" (<50 m), which was not analysed for the previous inner city cohort with birth addresses in the city of Munich, turned out to increase the risk of wheezing and asthmatic/spastic/obstructive bronchitis.
Effects on asthma and hay fever are subject to confirmation at older ages, when these outcomes can be more validly assessed.
基于个体层面估算与交通相关的空气污染物的长期暴露情况,并结合空气污染测量数据、地理信息系统(GIS)数据和问卷调查数据评估对健康的不良影响。
在德国慕尼黑市选择了40个测量点,用于收集空气动力学直径50%截断值为2.5微米的颗粒物(PM2.5),并测量PM2.5吸光度和二氧化氮(NO2)。收集了慕尼黑大都市区的一组GIS变量(街道长度、家庭和人口密度以及土地利用信息),并将其用于多元线性回归模型,以预测与交通相关的空气污染物。这些模型还应用于慕尼黑大都市区两个出生队列(德国婴儿营养干预研究(GINI)和生活方式因素对德国东部和西部免疫系统及过敏症发展的影响(LISA))的出生地址。分析了出生地址处的空气污染浓度与1岁和2岁时呼吸道症状发生率之间的关联。
估算的PM2.5、PM2.5吸光度和NO2暴露的以下均值分别为:12.8微克/立方米、1.7×10⁻⁵米⁻¹和35.3微克/立方米。喘息、无感染咳嗽、夜间干咳、支气管哮喘、支气管炎和呼吸道感染的调整比值比(OR)表明与交通相关的空气污染物呈正相关。在控制个体混杂因素后,发现污染物PM2.5与1岁时打喷嚏、流鼻涕/鼻塞之间存在显著关联(OR 1.16,95%置信区间1.01至1.34)。在2岁时观察到类似效果。这些发现与我们之前仅限于慕尼黑市一个亚队列的分析结果相似。扩展研究还显示打喷嚏、流鼻涕/鼻塞有显著影响。此外,发现NO2与1岁时夜间干咳(或支气管炎)之间存在显著关联。变量“居住在主要道路附近”(<50米),之前未对出生地址在慕尼黑市的市中心内部队列进行分析,结果显示会增加喘息和哮喘/痉挛性/阻塞性支气管炎的风险。
对哮喘和花粉热的影响在年龄较大时有待进一步证实,届时这些结果可以得到更有效的评估。