Robinson D L
Accid Anal Prev. 2007 Jan;39(1):86-93. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2006.06.007. Epub 2006 Aug 21.
Debate continues over bicycle helmet laws. Proponents argue that case-control studies of voluntary wearing show helmets reduce head injuries. Opponents argue, even when legislation substantially increased percent helmet wearing, there was no obvious response in percentages of cyclist hospital admissions with head injury-trends for cyclists were virtually identical to those of other road users. Moreover, enforced laws discourage cycling, increasing the costs to society of obesity and lack of exercise and reducing overall safety of cycling through reduced safety in numbers. Countries with low helmet wearing have more cyclists and lower fatality rates per kilometre. Cost-benefit analyses are a useful tool to determine if interventions are worthwhile. The two published cost-benefit analyses of helmet law data found that the cost of buying helmets to satisfy legislation probably exceeded any savings in reduced head injuries. Analyses of other road safety measures, e.g. reducing speeding and drink-driving or treating accident blackspots, often show that benefits are significantly greater than costs. Assuming all parties agree that helmet laws should not be implemented unless benefits exceed costs, agreement is needed on how to derive monetary values for the consequences of helmet laws, including changes in injury rates, cycle-use and enjoyment of cycling. Suggestions are made concerning the data and methodology needed to help clarify the issue, e.g. relating pre- and post-law surveys of cycle use to numbers with head and other injuries and ensuring that trends are not confused with effects of increased helmet wearing.
关于自行车头盔法律的争论仍在继续。支持者认为,对自愿佩戴头盔的病例对照研究表明,头盔可减少头部受伤。反对者则认为,即使立法大幅提高了头盔佩戴率,因头部受伤而入院的自行车骑行者的比例也没有明显变化——自行车骑行者的趋势与其他道路使用者的趋势几乎相同。此外,强制法律会阻碍骑自行车,增加社会因肥胖和缺乏运动而产生的成本,并通过减少骑行人数带来的安全性而降低整体骑行安全性。头盔佩戴率低的国家骑自行车的人更多,每公里的死亡率也更低。成本效益分析是确定干预措施是否值得的有用工具。已发表的两项关于头盔法律数据的成本效益分析发现,为满足立法要求购买头盔的成本可能超过了因减少头部受伤而节省的费用。对其他道路安全措施的分析,例如降低车速、酒后驾车或整治事故多发地段,往往表明收益远大于成本。假设各方都同意,除非收益超过成本,否则不应实施头盔法律,那么就需要就如何为头盔法律的后果得出货币价值达成一致,包括受伤率、自行车使用情况和骑行乐趣的变化。文中针对有助于阐明该问题所需的数据和方法提出了建议,例如将法律实施前后的自行车使用情况调查与头部受伤及其他受伤人数联系起来,并确保趋势不会与头盔佩戴率上升的影响相混淆。