Haidinger Gerald, Frischenschlager Oskar, Mitterauer Lukas
Department of Epidemiology, Centre for Public Health, Medical University of Vienna, Austria.
Wien Med Wochenschr. 2006 Jul;156(13-14):416-20. doi: 10.1007/s10354-006-0275-8.
Examination of the reliability of predictors for study success found in a prospective study in the year 2002/03. We report the results of a retest in an unselected students' sample taken from the following academic year 2003/04.
In a comparison of successful and unsuccessful students in their first year at the Medical University of Vienna, four predictors for study success had been found (using a questionnaire in a prospective design). In a re-examination of this study, after testing for representativeness, all P values were first subjected to adjustment for multiple testing. Secondly, the items were retested in a student sample drawn in 2003/04 using the same procedures.
After Finner's adjustment for multiple testing, the four predictors (male sex, German mother tongue, performance at school, learning capacity and learning style) were confirmed. In the students' sample of 2003/04, eighteen out of 22 items remained significant.
The majority of the prognostic factors found are reliable.
检验2002/03年一项前瞻性研究中所发现的学习成功预测因素的可靠性。我们报告了对2003/04学年抽取的未经过筛选的学生样本进行重新测试的结果。
在对维也纳医科大学一年级学生中学习成功与不成功的学生进行比较时，发现了四个学习成功的预测因素（采用前瞻性设计的问卷调查）。在对该研究进行重新检验时，在测试代表性之后，所有P值首先进行多重检验调整。其次，使用相同程序对2003/04年抽取的学生样本中的项目进行重新测试。
经过芬纳多重检验调整后，四个预测因素（男性、德语母语、在校成绩、学习能力和学习风格）得到确认。在2003/04年的学生样本中，22个项目中有18个仍然显著。
所发现的大多数预后因素是可靠的。
