Smith Richard D
Health Economics Group, School of Medicine, Health Policy & Practice, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK.
Soc Sci Med. 2006 Dec;63(12):3113-23. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2006.08.004. Epub 2006 Sep 15.
With increased globalisation comes the likelihood that infectious disease appearing in one country will spread rapidly to another, severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) being a recent example. However, although SARS infected some 10,000 individuals, killing around 1000, it did not lead to the devastating health impact that many feared, but a rather disproportionate economic impact. The disproportionate scale and nature of this impact has caused concern that outbreaks of more serious disease could cause catastrophic impacts on the global economy. Understanding factors that led to the impact of SARS might help to deal with the possible impact and management of such other infectious disease outbreaks. In this respect, the role of risk--its perception, communication and management--is critical. This paper looks at the role that risk, and especially the perception of risk, its communication and management, played in driving the economic impact of SARS. It considers the public and public health response to SARS, the role of the media and official organisations, and proposes policy and research priorities for establishing a system to better deal with the next global infectious disease outbreak. It is concluded that the potential for the rapid spread of infectious disease is not necessarily a greater threat than it has always been, but the effect that an outbreak can have on the economy is, which requires further research and policy development.
随着全球化的加剧,一个国家出现的传染病迅速蔓延到另一个国家的可能性增加,严重急性呼吸综合征(SARS)就是最近的一个例子。然而,尽管SARS感染了约1万人,造成约1000人死亡,但它并没有导致许多人所担心的那种毁灭性的健康影响,而是造成了相当不成比例的经济影响。这种影响的规模和性质不成比例,引发了人们的担忧,即更严重疾病的爆发可能会对全球经济造成灾难性影响。了解导致SARS产生影响的因素可能有助于应对其他此类传染病爆发的可能影响和管理。在这方面,风险——其认知、沟通和管理——的作用至关重要。本文探讨了风险,尤其是风险认知、其沟通和管理在推动SARS经济影响方面所起的作用。它考虑了公众和公共卫生对SARS的反应、媒体和官方组织的作用,并提出了建立一个更好应对下一次全球传染病爆发的系统的政策和研究重点。得出的结论是,传染病迅速传播的可能性不一定比以往更大的威胁,但疫情对经济的影响却是如此,这需要进一步的研究和政策制定。