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2000 - 2004年北京城区基于健康的颗粒物空气污染评估。

A health-based assessment of particulate air pollution in urban areas of Beijing in 2000-2004.

作者信息

Zhang Minsi, Song Yu, Cai Xuhui

机构信息

Department of Environmental Science, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2007 Apr 15;376(1-3):100-8. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2007.01.085. Epub 2007 Feb 21.

Abstract

Particulate air pollution is a serious problem in Beijing. The annual concentration of particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter less than 10 microm (PM(10)), ranging from 141 to 166 microg m(-3) in 2000-2004, could be very harmful to human health. In this paper, we presented the mortality and morbidity effects of PM(10) pollution based on statistical data and the epidemiological exposure-response function. The economic costs to health during the 5 years were estimated to lie between US$1670 and $3655 million annually, accounting for about 6.55% of Beijing's gross domestic product each year. The total costs were apportioned into two parts caused by: the local emissions and long-range transported pollution. The contribution from local emissions dominated the total costs, accounting on average for 3.60% of GDP. However, the contributions from transported pollution cannot be neglected, and the relative percentage to the total costs from the other regions could account for about 45%. An energy policy and effective measures should be proposed to reduce particulate matter, especially PM(2.5) pollution in Beijing to protect public health. The Beijing government also needs to cooperate with the other local governments to reduce high background level of particulate air pollution.

摘要

北京的颗粒物空气污染是一个严重问题。2000年至2004年期间,空气动力学直径小于10微米的颗粒物(PM10)的年浓度在141至166微克/立方米之间,可能对人体健康非常有害。在本文中,我们基于统计数据和流行病学暴露-反应函数,呈现了PM10污染对死亡率和发病率的影响。这5年期间对健康造成的经济成本估计每年在16.7亿美元至36.55亿美元之间,约占北京每年国内生产总值的6.55%。总成本被分摊为由本地排放和远距离传输污染导致的两部分。本地排放造成的成本在总成本中占主导地位,平均占国内生产总值的3.60%。然而,传输污染造成的成本也不容忽视,其他地区的成本占总成本的相对比例约为45%。应提出能源政策和有效措施,以减少北京的颗粒物,特别是PM2.5污染,保护公众健康。北京政府还需要与其他地方政府合作,降低颗粒物空气污染的高背景水平。

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