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俄亥俄州斯特本维尔市的空气中颗粒物污染与每日死亡率

Particulate air pollution and daily mortality in Steubenville, Ohio.

作者信息

Schwartz J, Dockery D W

机构信息

Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC.

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 1992 Jan 1;135(1):12-9; discussion 20-5. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a116195.

DOI:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a116195
PMID:1736656
Abstract

Particulate air pollution has been associated with daily mortality in London, England, both in the smog episodes of the 1950s and at the lower pollution levels of the late 1960s and early 1970s. Replicating these findings in the United States has been difficult, because particulates are usually sampled every sixth day. Replication, particularly with a gravimetric measure of particulates, is important in assessing the causality of the relation. Daily measurements of total suspended particulates by high volume gravimetric sampler are available for the Steubenville, Ohio, metropolitan area. These were matched to daily mortality counts from the detail mortality tapes of the National Center for Health Statistics. Deaths of residents which occurred outside the Steubenville Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area were excluded. Because of the much smaller population, the average total number of deaths per day in the Steubenville Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area over the 11-year period 1974-1984 was about 1% of the deaths in a typical London winter. Despite this reduced statistical power, total suspended particulate count was significantly associated with increased daily mortality in Poisson regression analyses controlling for season and temperature. An increase in particulates of 100 micrograms/m3 was associated with a 4% increase in mortality on the succeeding day. Associations with sulfur dioxide were not significant after adjustment for particulates. The relation appeared to continue at levels well below the current National Ambient Air Quality Standard.

摘要

在英国伦敦,无论是在20世纪50年代的烟雾事件中,还是在20世纪60年代末和70年代初污染水平较低的时候,空气中的颗粒物污染都与每日死亡率相关。在美国重现这些研究结果一直很困难,因为颗粒物通常每六天采样一次。重复研究,特别是采用重量法测量颗粒物,对于评估这种关系的因果性很重要。俄亥俄州斯特本维尔大都市区可获得通过大容量重量采样器对总悬浮颗粒物进行的每日测量数据。这些数据与美国国家卫生统计中心详细死亡率记录中的每日死亡人数进行了匹配。排除了发生在斯特本维尔标准大都市统计区以外的居民死亡情况。由于人口少得多,1974年至1984年这11年间,斯特本维尔标准大都市统计区平均每日死亡总人数约为伦敦典型冬季死亡人数的1%。尽管统计效力有所降低,但在控制季节和温度的泊松回归分析中,总悬浮颗粒物计数与每日死亡率增加显著相关。颗粒物增加100微克/立方米与次日死亡率增加4%相关。在对颗粒物进行调整后,与二氧化硫的关联并不显著。这种关系在远低于当前国家环境空气质量标准的水平下似乎依然存在。

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