Zandbergen Paul A
Department of Geography, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL 33620, USA.
BMC Public Health. 2007 Mar 16;7:37. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-7-37.
The widespread availability of powerful geocoding tools in commercial GIS software and the interest in spatial analysis at the individual level have made address geocoding a widely employed technique in epidemiological studies. This study determined the effect of the positional error in street geocoding on the analysis of traffic-related air pollution on children.
For a case-study of a large sample of school children in Orange County, Florida (n = 104,865) the positional error of street geocoding was determined through comparison with a parcel database. The effect of this error was evaluated by analyzing the proximity of street and parcel geocoded locations to road segments with high traffic volume and determining the accuracy of the classification using the results of street geocoding. Of the original sample of 163,886 addresses 36% were not used in the final analysis because they could not be reliably geocoded using either street or parcel geocoding. The estimates of positional error can therefore be considered conservative underestimates.
Street geocoding was found to have a median error of 41 meters, a 90th percentile of 100 meters, a 95th percentile of 137 meters and a 99th percentile of 273 meters. These positional errors were found to be non-random in nature and introduced substantial bias and error in the estimates of potential exposure to traffic-related air pollution. Street geocoding was found to consistently over-estimate the number of potentially exposed children at small distances up to 250 meters. False positives and negatives were also found to be very common at these small distances.
Results of the case-study presented here strongly suggest that typical street geocoding is insufficient for fine-scale analysis and more accurate alternatives need to be considered.
商业地理信息系统(GIS)软件中强大的地理编码工具广泛可用,且人们对个体层面的空间分析感兴趣,这使得地址地理编码成为流行病学研究中广泛采用的技术。本研究确定了街道地理编码中的位置误差对儿童交通相关空气污染分析的影响。
对于佛罗里达州奥兰治县大量学童(n = 104,865)的案例研究,通过与地块数据库比较来确定街道地理编码的位置误差。通过分析街道和地块地理编码位置与高交通流量路段的接近程度,并使用街道地理编码结果确定分类的准确性,来评估此误差的影响。在最初的163,886个地址样本中,36%未用于最终分析,因为它们无法使用街道或地块地理编码可靠地进行地理编码。因此,位置误差的估计可被视为保守的低估。
发现街道地理编码的中位数误差为41米,第90百分位数为100米,第95百分位数为137米,第99百分位数为273米。这些位置误差在本质上是非随机的,并且在与交通相关空气污染潜在暴露估计中引入了大量偏差和误差。发现街道地理编码在高达250米的小距离上持续高估潜在暴露儿童的数量。在这些小距离上,误报和漏报也非常常见。
此处呈现的案例研究结果强烈表明,典型的街道地理编码不足以进行精细尺度分析,需要考虑更准确的替代方法。