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循证皮肤病学:治疗所需人数及其与其他风险指标的关系。

Evidence-based dermatology: number needed to treat and its relation to other risk measures.

作者信息

Manriquez Juan Jorge, Villouta Maria Francisca, Williams Hywel C

机构信息

Unit of Dermatology, School of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, San Joaquin, Santiago.

出版信息

J Am Acad Dermatol. 2007 Apr;56(4):664-71. doi: 10.1016/j.jaad.2006.08.024. Epub 2006 Oct 27.

Abstract

When discussing treatment options with patients, clinicians often use terms such as "frequently" or "rarely" when referring to potential benefits or possible harms. Quantitative measurements of treatment benefits and harms derived from randomized clinical trials or meta-analysis such as odds ratios or risk reduction are more precise terms, yet physicians and their patients find them difficult to understand and they are not, therefore, commonly used in clinical practice. To overcome the lack of intuitiveness for traditional measures of risk estimates derived from clinical trials, the number needed to treat (NNT) has been widely recommended as a measure of effectiveness, and number needed to harm as a way of describing risk of possible adverse events. NNT is simply the number of patients who, on average, would need to be treated with a proposed intervention to demonstrate one additional gain over the standard comparator intervention. NNT is an absolute measure and it is calculated as the inverse of the absolute risk reduction. In this article we describe the usefulness and limits of the NNT with particular reference to dermatology, and compare NNT with other relative measures such as the relative risk and relative risk reduction.

摘要

在与患者讨论治疗方案时,临床医生在提及潜在益处或可能危害时,经常使用“频繁”或“罕见”等术语。来自随机临床试验或荟萃分析得出的治疗益处和危害的定量测量,如比值比或风险降低,是更精确的术语,但医生及其患者发现这些术语难以理解,因此在临床实践中并不常用。为了克服源自临床试验的传统风险估计方法缺乏直观性的问题,所需治疗人数(NNT)作为一种有效性衡量指标被广泛推荐,所需伤害人数则用于描述可能不良事件的风险。NNT简单来说就是平均而言,需要接受某种拟议干预措施治疗的患者数量,以证明相较于标准对照干预措施能多获得一项益处。NNT是一种绝对测量指标,其计算方法是绝对风险降低的倒数。在本文中,我们将特别结合皮肤病学描述NNT的有用性和局限性,并将NNT与其他相对测量指标,如相对风险和相对风险降低进行比较。

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