Hirschler Valeria, Maccallini Gustavo, Calcagno Maria, Aranda Claudio, Jadzinsky Mauricio
Nutrition and Diabetes Department, Chemistry College, University of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Diabetes Technol Ther. 2007 Apr;9(2):149-57. doi: 10.1089/dia.2006.0017.
This study was designed to assess whether waist circumference can predict metabolic syndrome abnormalities in primary schoolchildren.
Of 5,103 children (2,526 males) 4-13 years old who underwent anthropometric measurements, 530 had more extensive testing. Body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, and blood pressure were determined in all subjects. The subgroup had Tanner stage, glucose, lipid profile, and insulin assays. The BMI of the 5,103 children was used to calculate our z scores. To determine which marker was a better predictor for metabolic syndrome, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated for BMI and waist circumference, with metabolic syndrome as the dichotomous variable.
Over 530 children (8.7 +/- 2.4 years) 6% (n = 32) were obese (BMI >95(th) percentile; z BMI = 2.55), 13.6% (n = 72) were overweight (OW) (85(th) < BMI < 95(th) percentile; z BMI = 1.45), and 80.4% (n = 426) were non-OW (BMI <85(th) percentile; z BMI = - 0.14). Fifty-eight percent [95% confidence interval (CI) 53, 6], 22.8% (95% CI 19, 27), 15.5% (95% CI 12, 19), and 4.1% (95% CI 2, 6) were Tanner stage I, II, III, and IV, respectively. Metabolic syndrome was present in 9.4% overall, 6% of the non-OW, 22.2% of the OW, and 31% in the obese group (P < 0.01). The differences between ROC areas were not significant (0.009) (95% CI -0.035 to 0.053; P = 0.679) for BMI and waist circumference. The optimal threshold for waist circumference percentile was 71.3 with a sensitivity and specificity of 58.9 (95% CI 48.4, 68.9) and 63.1 (95% CI 58.4, 67.7), respectively.
Waist circumference and BMI predict metabolic syndrome abnormalities in children. Waist circumference > or =75(th) percentile could be the optimal threshold to predict metabolic syndrome in children.
本研究旨在评估腰围是否能够预测小学生的代谢综合征异常情况。
在5103名4至13岁接受人体测量的儿童(2526名男性)中,530名进行了更全面的检测。测定了所有受试者的体重指数(BMI)、腰围和血压。该亚组进行了坦纳分期、血糖、血脂谱和胰岛素检测。用5103名儿童的BMI计算我们的z分数。为了确定哪个指标是代谢综合征的更好预测指标,以代谢综合征为二分变量,生成了BMI和腰围的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线。
在530多名儿童(8.7±2.4岁)中,6%(n = 32)肥胖(BMI>第95百分位数;z BMI = 2.55),13.6%(n = 72)超重(OW)(第85百分位数<BMI<第95百分位数;z BMI = 1.45),80.4%(n = 426)非超重(BMI<第85百分位数;z BMI = -0.14)。坦纳分期I、II、III和IV分别占58%[95%置信区间(CI)53,6]、22.8%(95%CI 19,27)、15.5%(95%CI 12,19)和4.1%(95%CI 2,6)。总体上9.4%存在代谢综合征,非超重组为6%,超重组为22.2%,肥胖组为31%(P<0.01)。BMI和腰围的ROC曲线下面积差异无统计学意义(0.009)(95%CI -0.035至0.053;P = 0.679)。腰围百分位数的最佳阈值为71.3,敏感性和特异性分别为58.9(95%CI 48.4,68.9)和63.1(95%CI 58.4,67.7)。
腰围和BMI可预测儿童的代谢综合征异常情况。腰围≥第75百分位数可能是预测儿童代谢综合征的最佳阈值。