Sooriakumaran Prasanna, Lovell David, Brown Ruth
Directorate of Surgery, Royal Surrey County Hospital, Guildford, UK.
Int J Surg. 2005;3(1):49-52. doi: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2005.03.009.
To investigate the value of the modified Alvarado score (MAS) in helping Accident & Emergency (A&E) doctors decide which patients with suspected acute appendicitis need surgical referral.
11,258 patients presented to a University Hospital A&E Department over a two-month period; 82 were triaged as 'abdominal pain' or 'suspected appendicitis'. Ten patients self-discharged prior to seeing a doctor. The remaining case notes (72) were reviewed and MAS's calculated. The Alvarado guidelines suggested an MAS > or = 5 (high) needed admission and an MAS < 5 (low) excluded appendicitis and was appropriate for discharge.
Two patients had proven pancreatitis and were excluded. 24/70 patients were admitted for suspected appendicitis; all were referred by the A&E doctor (sensitivity 100%) but only 12 had a high MAS (sensitivity 50%). Twelve patients were therefore admitted despite having a low MAS on retrospective analysis. 46/70 patients were discharged (none re-presented with the same complaint) of which 40/46 were sent home without surgical referral (specificity 87%), but only 44/46 patients discharged had a low MAS (specificity 96%).
It is more important to refer every case that needs referral (sensitivity) than to discharge those not needing referral (specificity). We cannot exclude the possibility that morbidity would result were the MAS used in lieu of clinical judgment in deciding whether referral is necessary in cases of suspected acute appendicitis.
探讨改良阿尔瓦拉多评分(MAS)在帮助急诊医生确定哪些疑似急性阑尾炎患者需要手术转诊方面的价值。
在两个月的时间里,11258名患者前往一家大学医院的急诊科就诊;82名患者被分诊为“腹痛”或“疑似阑尾炎”。10名患者在看医生之前自行离院。对其余的病历(72份)进行了回顾并计算了MAS。阿尔瓦拉多指南建议,MAS≥5(高)需要入院,MAS<5(低)可排除阑尾炎,适合出院。
两名患者被证实患有胰腺炎,被排除在外。70名疑似阑尾炎患者中有24名入院;所有患者均由急诊医生转诊(敏感性100%),但只有12名患者MAS高(敏感性50%)。因此,经回顾性分析,有12名患者尽管MAS低仍被入院。70名患者中有46名出院(均未因相同症状再次就诊),其中46名中有40名未经手术转诊就被送回家(特异性87%),但出院的46名患者中只有44名MAS低(特异性96%)。
转诊每一例需要转诊的病例(敏感性)比让不需要转诊的病例出院(特异性)更重要。在疑似急性阑尾炎病例中,我们不能排除在决定是否需要转诊时使用MAS代替临床判断会导致发病率增加的可能性。