Loo B P Y, Tsui K L
Department of Geography, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong.
Inj Prev. 2007 Jun;13(3):186-9. doi: 10.1136/ip.2006.013458.
This paper aims to determine the percentage of road crashes resulting in injuries requiring hospital care that are reported to the police and to identify factors associated with reporting such crashes to the police.
The data of one of two hospitals in the Road Casualty Information System were matched with the police's Traffic Accident Database System. Factors affecting the police-reporting rate were examined at two levels: the different reporting rates among subgroups examined and tested with chi2 tests; and multiple explanatory factors were scrutinised with a logistic regression model to arrive at the odds ratios to reflect the probability of police-reporting among subgroups.
The police-reporting rate was estimated to be 57.5-59.9%. In particular, under-reporting among children (reporting rate = 33.6%) and cyclists (reporting rate = 33.0%) was notable.
Accurate and reliable road crash data are essential for unveiling the full-scale and nature of the road safety problem. The police crash database needs to be supplemented by other data. In particular, any estimation about the social costs of road crashes must recognise the under-reporting problem. The large number of injuries not reflected in the police crash database represents a major public health issue that should be carefully examined.
本文旨在确定导致需要住院治疗的伤害的道路交通事故中向警方报告的比例,并确定与向警方报告此类事故相关的因素。
道路伤亡信息系统中两家医院之一的数据与警方的交通事故数据库系统进行了匹配。在两个层面上研究了影响警方报告率的因素:通过卡方检验对所检查亚组之间不同的报告率进行检验;使用逻辑回归模型仔细审查多个解释因素,以得出优势比,反映亚组之间向警方报告的概率。
警方报告率估计为57.5 - 59.9%。特别是,儿童(报告率 = 33.6%)和骑自行车者(报告率 = 33.0%)的报告不足情况较为显著。
准确可靠的道路交通事故数据对于揭示道路安全问题的全貌和性质至关重要。警方的事故数据库需要用其他数据加以补充。特别是,对道路交通事故社会成本的任何估计都必须认识到报告不足的问题。警方事故数据库中未反映的大量伤害是一个重大的公共卫生问题,应予以仔细审查。