Klauer Karl Christoph, Stahl Christoph, Erdfelder Edgar
Institut fur Psychologie, Albert-Ludwigs-Universitat Freiburg, Frieburg, Germany.
J Exp Psychol Learn Mem Cogn. 2007 Jul;33(4):680-703. doi: 10.1037/0278-7393.33.4.680.
A complete quantitative account of P. Wason's (1966) abstract selection task is proposed. The account takes the form of a mathematical model. It is assumed that some response patterns are caused by inferential reasoning, whereas other responses reflect cognitive processes that affect each card selection separately and independently of other card selections. The model parameters assess the contributions of different interpretational, inferential, and heuristic factors that jointly determine performance in the selection task. The interpretation of most of the model parameters in terms of these different factors is validated experimentally. This model of the selection task is the first to account for the observed frequencies of all 16 possible response patterns that can arise.
本文提出了对P. 沃森（1966年）抽象选择任务的完整定量描述。该描述采用数学模型的形式。假定某些反应模式是由推理过程引起的，而其他反应则反映了认知过程，这些认知过程分别且独立于其他卡片选择地影响每张卡片的选择。模型参数评估了不同的解释、推理和启发式因素的作用，这些因素共同决定了选择任务中的表现。通过实验验证了根据这些不同因素对大多数模型参数的解释。这个选择任务模型是第一个能够解释所有可能出现的16种反应模式的观察频率的模型。
