Mackenbach J P, Kunst A E, Looman C W
Department of Public Health and Social Medicine, Erasmus University Medical School, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
J Epidemiol Community Health. 1991 Sep;45(3):231-7. doi: 10.1136/jech.45.3.231.
The geographical pattern of mortality in The Netherlands is dominated by an area of relatively high mortality in the southern part of the country. The aim was to analyse the background of this geographical mortality pattern in the early 1980s, and its evolution over time since the early 1950s.
Mortality data by district (n = 39), cause of death (13 large causes, "symptoms and ill defined conditions", all other causes), and time period (1950-54, 1960-64, 1970-74, 1980-84) were available from the Netherlands Central Bureau of Statistics. Standardised mortality ratios were calculated, and the logarithms of these were related to three sociodemographic characteristics using multiple, ordinary least squares regression analysis.
This study used data for the whole Dutch population.
Although the geographical mortality pattern has been rather stable over the last decades, a clear tendency towards convergence is also apparent. Approximately 90% of the current excess mortality in the southern part of the country is due to cardiovascular diseases. The results of regression analysis show that the excess mortality is primarily related to the high percentage of Roman Catholics in this part of the country, and additionally to a slightly lower average income. In The Netherlands, a higher percentage of Roman Catholics in the population is linked with higher all cause mortality rates, as well as with higher mortality rates for lung cancer, ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, arterial disease, and chronic non-specific lung disease. Survey data show that these associations are partly due to a higher prevalence of smoking among Roman Catholics. As in many other countries, a lower average income is linked with high all cause mortality rates in The Netherlands. Cause specific data show negative associations for stomach cancer, ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, chronic non-specific lung disease, and traffic accidents. Since the early 1950s the association between geographical mortality patterns and the percentage of Roman Catholics in the population has gradually become less strongly positive. This suggests that the convergence of the mortality rates in the South towards the national average may be related to a gradual lessening of differences in lifestyle between population groups.
Both cultural and economic factors are important in the explanation of geographical mortality patterns in The Netherlands.
荷兰的死亡率地理模式以该国南部死亡率相对较高的地区为主导。目的是分析20世纪80年代初这种地理死亡率模式的背景及其自20世纪50年代初以来随时间的演变。
可从荷兰中央统计局获取按地区(n = 39)、死因(13种主要死因、“症状和未明确诊断的病症”、所有其他死因)和时间段(1950 - 1954年、1960 - 1964年、1970 - 1974年、1980 - 1984年)划分的死亡率数据。计算标准化死亡率,并使用多元普通最小二乘法回归分析将这些数据的对数与三个社会人口学特征相关联。
本研究使用了荷兰全体人口的数据。
尽管在过去几十年中地理死亡率模式相当稳定,但明显的趋同趋势也很明显。该国南部目前约90%的额外死亡率归因于心血管疾病。回归分析结果表明,额外死亡率主要与该国该地区罗马天主教徒的高比例有关,此外还与平均收入略低有关。在荷兰,人口中罗马天主教徒比例较高与全因死亡率较高以及肺癌、缺血性心脏病、脑血管疾病、动脉疾病和慢性非特异性肺病的死亡率较高相关。调查数据表明,这些关联部分归因于罗马天主教徒中吸烟率较高。与许多其他国家一样,荷兰平均收入较低与全因死亡率较高相关。特定病因数据显示,胃癌、缺血性心脏病、脑血管疾病、慢性非特异性肺病和交通事故呈负相关。自20世纪50年代初以来,地理死亡率模式与人口中罗马天主教徒比例之间的关联逐渐变得不那么强正相关。这表明南部死亡率向全国平均水平的趋同可能与人群之间生活方式差异的逐渐缩小有关。
文化和经济因素在解释荷兰的地理死亡率模式中都很重要。