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英国地区心脏研究:心血管疾病死亡率的地理差异及水质的作用。

British Regional Heart Study: geographic variations in cardiovascular mortality, and the role of water quality.

作者信息

Pocock S J, Shaper A G, Cook D G, Packham R F, Lacey R F, Powell P, Russell P F

出版信息

Br Med J. 1980 May 24;280(6226):1243-9. doi: 10.1136/bmj.280.6226.1243.

Abstract

In a study of regional variations in cardiovascular mortality in Great Britain during 1969-73 based on 253 towns the possible contributions of drinking water quality, climate, air pollution, blood groups, and socioeconomic factors were evaluated. A twofold range in mortality from stroke and ischaemic heart disease was apparent, the highest mortality being in the west of Scotland and the lowest in south-east England. A multifactorial approach identified five principal factors that substantially explained this geographic variation in cardiovascular mortality-namely, water hardness, rainfall, temperature, and two social factors (percentage of manual workers and car ownership). After adjustment for other factors cardiovascular mortality in areas with very soft water, around 0.25 mmol/l (calcium carbonate equivalent 25 mg/l), was estimated to be 10-15% higher than that in areas with medium-hard water, around 1.7 mmol/l (170 mg/l), while any further increase in hardness beyond 1.7 mmol/l did not additionally lower cardiovascular mortality.Thus a negative relation existed between water hardness and cardiovascular mortality, although climate and socioeconomic conditions also appeared to be important influences. Cross-sectional and prospective surveys of 7500 middle-aged men from 24 towns are in progress and will permit further exploration of these geographic differences, especially with regard to personal risk factors such as blood pressure, blood lipid concentrations, and cigarette smoking.

摘要

在一项基于253个城镇对1969 - 1973年英国心血管疾病死亡率地区差异的研究中,评估了饮用水质量、气候、空气污染、血型和社会经济因素可能产生的影响。中风和缺血性心脏病死亡率呈现出两倍的差异范围,最高死亡率出现在苏格兰西部,最低死亡率出现在英格兰东南部。一种多因素分析方法确定了五个主要因素,这些因素在很大程度上解释了心血管疾病死亡率的这种地理差异,即水硬度、降雨量、温度以及两个社会因素(体力劳动者百分比和汽车拥有率)。在对其他因素进行调整后,估计水硬度约为0.25毫摩尔/升(碳酸钙当量25毫克/升)的地区心血管疾病死亡率比水硬度约为1.7毫摩尔/升(170毫克/升)的中等硬度水地区高10% - 15%,而硬度超过1.7毫摩尔/升后进一步增加并不会额外降低心血管疾病死亡率。因此,尽管气候和社会经济条件似乎也是重要影响因素,但水硬度与心血管疾病死亡率之间存在负相关关系。对来自24个城镇的7500名中年男性进行的横断面和前瞻性调查正在进行中,这将有助于进一步探究这些地理差异,特别是在诸如血压、血脂浓度和吸烟等个人风险因素方面。

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