Jost John T, Napier Jaime L, Thorisdottir Hulda, Gosling Samuel D, Palfai Tibor P, Ostafin Brian
Department of Psychology, New York University, New York, NY 10003-6634, USA.
Pers Soc Psychol Bull. 2007 Jul;33(7):989-1007. doi: 10.1177/0146167207301028.
Three studies are conducted to assess the uncertainty- threat model of political conservatism, which posits that psychological needs to manage uncertainty and threat are associated with political orientation. Results from structural equation models provide consistent support for the hypothesis that uncertainty avoidance (e.g., need for order, intolerance of ambiguity, and lack of openness to experience) and threat management (e.g., death anxiety, system threat, and perceptions of a dangerous world) each contributes independently to conservatism (vs. liberalism). No support is obtained for alternative models, which predict that uncertainty and threat management are associated with ideological extremism or extreme forms of conservatism only. Study 3 also reveals that resistance to change fully mediates the association between uncertainty avoidance and conservatism, whereas opposition to equality partially mediates the association between threat and conservatism. Implications for understanding the epistemic and existential bases of political orientation are discussed.
进行了三项研究以评估政治保守主义的不确定性-威胁模型,该模型假定管理不确定性和威胁的心理需求与政治取向相关。结构方程模型的结果为以下假设提供了一致支持:不确定性规避(例如,对秩序的需求、对模糊性的不容忍以及缺乏开放的经验)和威胁管理(例如,死亡焦虑、系统威胁以及对危险世界的认知)各自独立地促成保守主义(相对于自由主义)。对于预测不确定性和威胁管理仅与意识形态极端主义或极端形式的保守主义相关的替代模型,未获得支持。研究3还表明,对变革的抵制完全中介了不确定性规避与保守主义之间的关联,而对平等的反对部分中介了威胁与保守主义之间的关联。讨论了对理解政治取向的认知和存在基础的启示。