Heiro Maija, Helenius Hans, Hurme Saija, Savunen Timo, Engblom Erik, Nikoskelainen Jukka, Kotilainen Pirkko
Department of Medicine, Turku University Hospital, Turku, Finland.
BMC Infect Dis. 2007 Jul 17;7:78. doi: 10.1186/1471-2334-7-78.
Previous studies on factors predicting the prognosis of infective endocarditis have given somewhat conflicting results. Our aim was to define the factors predicting the outcome of patients treated in a Finnish teaching hospital.
A total of 326 episodes of infective endocarditis in 303 patients treated during 1980-2004 were evaluated for short-term and 1-year outcome and complications.
Infection of 2 native valves and the occurrence of neurological complications, peripheral emboli, or heart failure significantly predicted both in-hospital and 1-year mortality, while age > or =65 years or the presence of a major criterion or vegetation on echocardiography predicted death within 1 year. A significant trend was observed between the level of serum C-reactive protein (CRP) on admission and both the short-term and 1-year outcome. In the patients who had CRP values > or =100 mg/l on admission, the hazard ratio for in-hospital death was 2.9-fold and the hazard ratio for 1-year death was 3.9-fold as compared to those with lower CRP values. Male sex and age < 64 years significantly predicted a need for both in-hospital and 1-year surgery, as did the development of heart failure or the presence of a major criterion or vegetation on echocardiography. Peripheral emboli were associated with a need for in-hospital surgery, while Streptococcus pneumoniae as the causative agent or infection of 2 native valves predicted a need for surgery within 1 year from admission.
Some of the factors (e.g. heart failure, neurological complications, peripheral emboli) predicting a poor prognosis and/or need for surgery were the same observed in previous studies. A new finding was that high CRP values (> or =100 mg/l) on admission significantly predicted both short-term and 1-year mortality.
先前关于预测感染性心内膜炎预后因素的研究结果有些相互矛盾。我们的目的是确定在一家芬兰教学医院接受治疗的患者的预后预测因素。
对1980年至2004年期间治疗的303例患者中的326次感染性心内膜炎发作进行了短期、1年结局及并发症评估。
2个自身瓣膜感染以及出现神经并发症、外周栓塞或心力衰竭显著预测了住院死亡率和1年死亡率,而年龄≥65岁或存在主要标准或超声心动图显示有赘生物则预测1年内死亡。入院时血清C反应蛋白(CRP)水平与短期和1年结局之间存在显著趋势。入院时CRP值≥100 mg/L的患者,与CRP值较低的患者相比,住院死亡风险比为2.9倍,1年死亡风险比为3.9倍。男性和年龄<64岁显著预测了住院和1年手术需求,心力衰竭的发生、存在主要标准或超声心动图显示有赘生物也有同样的预测作用。外周栓塞与住院手术需求相关,而肺炎链球菌作为病原体或2个自身瓣膜感染预测了入院后1年内的手术需求。
一些预测预后不良和/或手术需求的因素(如心力衰竭、神经并发症、外周栓塞)与先前研究中观察到的相同。一个新发现是入院时高CRP值(≥100 mg/L)显著预测了短期和1年死亡率。