Chi Gui-bo, Wang Sheng-Yong
Center of Injury Prevention and Control, Medical College of Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2007 Feb;28(2):148-53.
To analyze and summarize the secular trend and influencing factors of road traffic injuries(RTI) in China, so as to provide evidence for the management of traffic safety.
Indexes as fatalities per 10,000 vehicles, fatalities per 100,000 population, fatalities per 10,000 kilometers, motorization(number of vehicles per 1000 population) and mortal coefficient were used. Clustering analysis and ranking correlation were used to analyze the relative factors.
The number of casualties of RTI had doubled every decade before the year of 2000. One hundred thousand people were killed in RTI every year since 2000. Facts as: Gross National Product(GNP) of China exceeded 1000 USD in 2002, number of motor vehicles reached 1.3 million in 2005, had both influenced the rates of road traffic fatality, mileage fatality and mortal coefficient which causing them to drop since 2002. In China, RTI happened in the underdeveloped districts in the western part of the country including Tibet, Ningxia, Xinjiang, Qinghai, and in some coastal areas as Zhejiang and Guangdong provinces. Men seemed to be more at risk than women in RTI, and accounted for three-quarters of the victims. Majority of fatalities happened in 21-50 year olds and the fatalities among those over 65 year olds had risen every year. The vulnerable populations in road-user category were pedestrians, passengers, motorcyclists and bicyclists. Under most situations, drivers were responsible for RTI and over half of them were professionals. Bad behaviors were the major causes of RTI, including exceeding the speed limit, handle misfeasance, breaking traffic rules and regulation, having taken alcohol or driving with fatigue etc. Exceeding the speed limit was the most risky factor which causing 75% of the RTI and the traffic deaths increased between 2002 to 2004. A positive correlation was discovered between population fatality rate and the factors as the number of vehicles, volume of road haulage, volume of passengers and the degree of highway etc. with correlation coefficients as r1 = 0.986, r2 = 0.986, r3 = 0.987, r4 = 0.985, P = 0.001, respectively.
Since 1951, the population fatality rate of RTI had been going up continuously until it began to fall in 2003.
分析和总结中国道路交通伤害（RTI）的长期趋势及影响因素，为交通安全管理提供依据。
采用每万辆车死亡率、每十万人口死亡率、每万公里死亡率、机动化水平（每千人口车辆数）和死亡系数等指标。运用聚类分析和秩相关分析相关因素。
2000年前，RTI伤亡人数每十年翻一番。自2000年起，每年有10万人死于RTI。2002年中国国民生产总值（GNP）超过1000美元、2005年机动车数量达到130万辆等事实，均影响了道路交通死亡率、里程死亡率和死亡系数，致使这些指标自2002年起下降。在中国，RTI发生在西部欠发达地区，包括西藏、宁夏、新疆、青海，以及一些沿海地区，如浙江和广东省。男性在RTI中似乎比女性面临更高风险，占受害者的四分之三。多数死亡发生在21至50岁人群中，65岁以上人群的死亡人数每年都在上升。道路使用者类别中的弱势群体是行人、乘客、骑摩托车者和骑自行车者。在大多数情况下，驾驶员对RTI负责，其中一半以上是职业驾驶员。不良行为是RTI的主要原因，包括超速、操作不当、违反交通规则、饮酒或疲劳驾驶等。超速是最危险的因素，导致75%的RTI，且2002年至
