Chen Wen-Ying, Wu Zong-Xin, Wang Wei-Zhong
Energy, Environment and Economy Research Institute,Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Huan Jing Ke Xue. 2007 Jun;28(6):1178-82.
Carbon capture and storage (CCS) has been widely recognized as one of the options to mitigate carbon emission to eventually stabilize carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere. Three parts of CCS, which are carbon capture, transport, and storage are assessed in this paper, covering comparisons of techno-economic parameters for different carbon capture technologies, comparisons of storage mechanism, capacity and cost for various storage formations, and etc. In addition, the role of CCS to mitigate global carbon emission is introduced. Finally, China MARKAL model is updated to include various CCS technologies, especially indirect coal liquefaction and poly-generation technologies with CCS, in order to consider carbon emission reduction as well as energy security issue. The model is used to generate different scenarios to study potential role of CCS to mitigate carbon emissions by 2050 in China. It is concluded that application of CCS can decrease marginal abatement cost and the decrease rate can reach 45% for the emission reduction rate of 50%, and it can lessen the dependence on nuclear power development for stringent carbon constrains. Moreover, coal resources can be cleanly used for longer time with CCS, e.g., for the scenario C70, coal share in the primary energy consumption by 2050 will increase from 10% when without CCS to 30% when with CCS. Therefore, China should pay attention to CCS R&D activities and to developing demonstration projects.
碳捕获与封存(CCS)已被广泛认为是减少碳排放以最终稳定大气中二氧化碳浓度的选择之一。本文对CCS的三个部分,即碳捕获、运输和封存进行了评估,涵盖了不同碳捕获技术的技术经济参数比较、各种封存地层的封存机制、容量和成本比较等。此外,还介绍了CCS在减轻全球碳排放方面的作用。最后,对中国MARKAL模型进行了更新,纳入了各种CCS技术,特别是具有CCS的间接煤液化和多联产技术,以考虑碳排放减少以及能源安全问题。该模型用于生成不同情景,以研究CCS到2050年在中国减轻碳排放的潜在作用。得出的结论是,应用CCS可以降低边际减排成本,对于50%的减排率,降低率可达45%,并且在严格的碳约束下可以减少对核电发展的依赖。此外,通过CCS可以更长期地清洁利用煤炭资源,例如,对于情景C70,到2050年一次能源消费中的煤炭份额将从无CCS时的10%增加到有CCS时的30%。因此,中国应重视CCS研发活动并开展示范项目。
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