Forbes D, Frisbie W P
Population Research Center, University of Texas, Austin.
Demography. 1991 Nov;28(4):639-60.
Using a half-century of death records from San Antonio/Bexar County, Texas, we examine the timing and cause structure of Spanish surname and Anglo infant mortality. Our findings show that despite the substantial disparities between ethnic-specific infant mortality rates in the early years of the study, there have been consistent declines in overall, neonatal, and postneonatal mortality for both groups, as well as a major convergence of mortality rates between Spanish surname and Anglo infants. Further, we demonstrate that the convergence is of relatively recent origin and is due primarily to shifts in postneonatal mortality. Finally, we examine the transition reflected in the cause structure of ethnic-specific infant mortality and show that the convergence was largely the result of reductions in deaths from exogenous causes. Implications for research into the "epidemiologic paradox" are discussed.
利用得克萨斯州圣安东尼奥/贝萨尔县半个世纪的死亡记录,我们研究了西班牙姓氏和盎格鲁婴儿死亡率的时间和死因结构。我们的研究结果表明,尽管在研究初期特定种族的婴儿死亡率之间存在巨大差异,但两组的总体、新生儿和新生儿后期死亡率都持续下降,西班牙姓氏婴儿和盎格鲁婴儿的死亡率也出现了重大趋同。此外,我们证明这种趋同是相对较新出现的,主要是由于新生儿后期死亡率的变化。最后,我们研究了特定种族婴儿死亡率的死因结构所反映的转变,表明这种趋同主要是由于外部原因导致的死亡减少。文中还讨论了对 “流行病学悖论” 研究的启示。