Hummer Robert A, Powers Daniel A, Pullum Starling G, Gossman Ginger L, Frisbie W Parker
Population Research Center, University of Texas at Austin, 78712-0544, USA.
Demography. 2007 Aug;44(3):441-57. doi: 10.1353/dem.2007.0028.
Recent research suggests that the favorable mortality outcomes for the Mexican immigrant population in the United States may largely be attributable to selective out-migration among Mexican immigrants, resulting in artificially low recorded death rates for the Mexican-origin population. In this paper we calculate detailed age-specific infant mortality rates by maternal race/ethnicity and nativity for two important reasons: (1) it is extremely unlikely that women of Mexican origin would migrate to Mexico with newborn babies, especially if the infants were only afew hours or afew days old; and (2) more than 50% of all infant deaths in the United States occur during the first week of life, when the chances of out-migration are very small. We use concatenated data from the U.S. linked birth and infant death cohort files from 1995 to 2000, which provides us with over 20 million births and more than 150,000 infant deaths to analyze. Our results clearly show that first-hour, first-day, and first-week mortality rates among infants born in the United States to Mexican immigrant women are about 10% lower than those experienced by infants of non-Hispanic, white U.S.-born women. It is extremely unlikely that such favorable rates are artificially caused by the out-migration of Mexican-origin women and infants, as we demonstrate with a simulation exercise. Further, infants born to U.S.-born Mexican American women exhibit rates of mortality that are statistically equal to those of non-Hispanic white women during the first weeks of life and fare considerably better than infants born to non-Hispanic black women, with whom they share similar socioeconomic profiles. These patterns are all consistent with the definition of the epidemiologic paradox as originally proposed by Markides and Coreil (1986).
近期研究表明,美国墨西哥移民人口良好的死亡率结果很大程度上可能归因于墨西哥移民中的选择性迁出,这导致墨西哥裔人口的记录死亡率人为降低。在本文中,我们按母亲的种族/族裔和出生地计算了详细的特定年龄婴儿死亡率,原因有二:(1)墨西哥裔女性极不可能带着新生儿移民到墨西哥,尤其是婴儿只有几个小时或几天大的时候;(2)美国超过50%的婴儿死亡发生在生命的第一周,此时迁出的可能性非常小。我们使用了1995年至2000年美国出生与婴儿死亡队列关联文件的拼接数据,这些数据为我们提供了超过2000万例出生和15万多例婴儿死亡情况以供分析。我们的结果清楚地表明,在美国出生的墨西哥移民女性所生婴儿的第一小时、第一天和第一周死亡率比美国出生的非西班牙裔白人女性所生婴儿低约10%。正如我们通过模拟实验所证明的,如此良好的死亡率极不可能是由墨西哥裔女性和婴儿的迁出人为造成的。此外,美国出生的墨西哥裔美国女性所生婴儿在出生后的头几周死亡率在统计上与非西班牙裔白人女性相当,而且比非西班牙裔黑人女性所生婴儿情况要好得多,她们有着相似的社会经济概况。这些模式都与Markides和Coreil(1986年)最初提出的流行病学悖论的定义一致。