Lee Sei J, Moody-Ayers Sandra Y, Landefeld C Seth, Walter Louise C, Lindquist Karla, Segal Mark R, Covinsky Kenneth E
Division of Geriatrics, San Francisco Veterans Affairs Medical Center, San Francisco, California 94121, USA.
J Am Geriatr Soc. 2007 Oct;55(10):1624-9. doi: 10.1111/j.1532-5415.2007.01360.x. Epub 2007 Aug 14.
To determine whether the association between self-rated health (SRH) and 4-year mortality differs between black and white Americans and whether education affects this relationship.
Prospective cohort.
Communities in the United States.
Sixteen thousand four hundred thirty-two subjects (14,004 white, 2,428 black) enrolled in the 1998 wave of the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), a population-based study of community-dwelling U.S. adults aged 50 and older.
Subjects were asked to self-identify their race and their overall health by answering the question, "Would you say your health is excellent, very good, good, fair, or poor?" Death was determined according to the National Death Index.
SRH is a much stronger predictor of mortality in whites than blacks (c-statistic 0.71 vs 0.62). In whites, poor SRH resulted in a markedly higher risk of mortality than excellent SRH (odds ratio (OR)=10.4, 95% confidence interval (CI)=8.0-13.6). In blacks, poor RSH resulted in a much smaller increased risk of mortality (OR=2.9, 95% CI=1.5-5.5). SRH was a stronger predictor of death in white and black subjects with higher levels of education, but differences in education could not account for the observed race differences in the prognostic effect of SRH.
This population-based study found that the relationship between SRH and mortality is stronger in white Americans and in subjects with higher levels of education. Because the association between SRH and mortality appears weakest in traditionally disadvantaged groups, SRH may not be the best measure to identify vulnerable older subjects.
确定美国黑人和白人自我评定健康状况(SRH)与4年死亡率之间的关联是否存在差异,以及教育程度是否会影响这种关系。
前瞻性队列研究。
美国社区。
16432名受试者(14004名白人,2428名黑人)参与了1998年的健康与退休研究(HRS),这是一项针对美国50岁及以上社区居住成年人的基于人群的研究。
受试者通过回答“您会说您的健康状况是极佳、非常好、良好、一般还是差?”这一问题来自我识别种族和整体健康状况。根据国家死亡指数确定死亡情况。
与黑人相比,SRH对白人死亡率的预测能力更强(c统计量分别为0.71和0.62)。在白人中,较差的SRH导致的死亡风险明显高于极佳的SRH(优势比(OR)=10.4,95%置信区间(CI)=8.0 - 13.6)。在黑人中,较差的SRH导致的死亡风险增加幅度要小得多(OR = 2.9,95% CI = 1.5 - 5.5)。在教育程度较高的白人和黑人受试者中,SRH对死亡的预测能力更强,但教育程度的差异无法解释观察到的SRH预后效应的种族差异。
这项基于人群的研究发现,SRH与死亡率之间的关系在美国白人和教育程度较高的受试者中更强。由于SRH与死亡率之间的关联在传统弱势群体中似乎最弱,因此SRH可能不是识别弱势老年受试者的最佳指标。