Phillips Norm, Coldman Andrew
Surveillance and Outcomes Unit, British Columbia Cancer Agency, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Int J Cancer. 2008 Jan 1;122(1):197-201. doi: 10.1002/ijc.23024.
Comparisons of cancer mortality between users and nonusers of screening are potentially biased because of the effects of self-selection. Previous studies of breast screening have found that individuals likely to participate have lower breast cancer mortality than those unlikely to participate. This study compares the incidence, survival and mortality for all cancer types other than breast between participants and nonparticipants in a service screening mammography program. British Columbian females having their first mammogram between the ages of 40 and 79 and the years 1988 and 2004 were identified as a cohort of "participants". Person-years of follow-up of participants were aggregated by age and year. Nonparticipant person-years were obtained by subtraction from the total female population. Cancer diagnoses other than breast were identified for participants and nonparticipants. Age, calendar year, and income adjusted relative risks of cancer incidence were estimated from generalized additive models with Poisson errors. Hazard ratios were estimated by Cox regression. Observed cancer mortality in participants was compared with expected mortality generated from nonparticipant incidence and survival rates. Incidence rates of cancer showed a mixed relationship with some elevated, some decreased and others similar to nonparticipant rates. Cancer survival was higher among participants for most cancer types, with an overall hazard ratio of 0.76 (0.73-0.79). Observed mortality in participants was less than expected for most cancers, with an overall mortality ratio of 0.60 (0.58-0.62). The general cancer experience of screening program participants is different from that of the general population.
由于自我选择的影响,筛查使用者与非使用者之间癌症死亡率的比较可能存在偏差。先前关于乳腺癌筛查的研究发现,可能参与筛查的个体的乳腺癌死亡率低于不太可能参与筛查的个体。本研究比较了服务性乳腺钼靶筛查项目参与者与非参与者中除乳腺癌外所有癌症类型的发病率、生存率和死亡率。1988年至2004年间,年龄在40至79岁之间进行首次乳腺钼靶检查的不列颠哥伦比亚省女性被确定为“参与者”队列。参与者的随访人年数按年龄和年份进行汇总。非参与者的人年数通过从女性总人口中减去得到。确定了参与者和非参与者中除乳腺癌外的癌症诊断。根据具有泊松误差的广义相加模型估计年龄、日历年份和收入调整后的癌症发病率相对风险。通过Cox回归估计风险比。将参与者中观察到的癌症死亡率与根据非参与者发病率和生存率生成的预期死亡率进行比较。癌症发病率呈现出混合关系,一些升高,一些降低,还有一些与非参与者发病率相似。大多数癌症类型中,参与者的癌症生存率较高,总体风险比为0.76(0.73 - 0.79)。参与者中观察到的大多数癌症死亡率低于预期,总体死亡率比为0.60(0.58 - 0.62)。筛查项目参与者的总体癌症经历与一般人群不同。