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美洲的发现:首批美洲人可能在1000年内席卷了西半球并使其动物种群大量减少。

The Discovery of America: The first Americans may have swept the Western Hemisphere and decimated its fauna within 1000 years.

作者信息

Martin P S

出版信息

Science. 1973 Mar 9;179(4077):969-74. doi: 10.1126/science.179.4077.969.

Abstract

I propose a new scenario for the discovery of America. By analogy with other successful animal invasions, one may assume that the discovery of the New World triggered a human population explosion. The invading hunters attained their highest population density along a front that swept from Canada to the Gulf of Mexico in 350 years, and on to the tip of South America in roughly 1000 years. A sharp drop in human population soon followed as major prey animals declined to extinction. Possible values for the model include an average frontal depth of 160 kilometers, an average population density of 0.4 person per square kilometer on the front and of 0.04 person per square kilometer behind the front, and an average rate of frontal advance of 16 kilometers per year. For the first two centuries the maximum rate of growth may have equaled the historic maximum of 3.4 percent annually. During the episode of faunal extinctions, the population of North America need not have exceeded 600,000 people at any one time. The model generates a population sufficiently large to overkill a biomass of Pleistocene large animals averaging 9 metric tons per square kilometer (50 animal units per section) or 2.3 x 10(8) metric tons in the hemisphere. It requires that on the front one person in four destroy one animal unit (450 kilograms) per week, or 26 percent of the biomass of an average section in 1 year in any one region. Extinction would occur within a decade. There was insufficient time for the fauna to learn defensive behaviors, or for more than a few kill sites to be buried and preserved for the archeologist. Should the model survive future findings, it will mean that the extinction chronology of the Pleistocene megafauna can be used to map the spread of Homo sapiens throughout the New World.

摘要

我提出了一种关于美洲发现的新设想。类比其他成功的动物入侵事件,人们可以假定新大陆的发现引发了人口爆炸。入侵的猎人在一条从加拿大横扫至墨西哥湾,耗时350年,再到南美洲南端,大约又耗时1000年的前沿地带达到了最高人口密度。随着主要猎物动物数量减少至灭绝,人类人口很快急剧下降。该模型的可能数值包括:前沿地带平均纵深160公里,前沿地带平均人口密度为每平方公里0.4人,前沿后方为每平方公里0.04人,前沿平均推进速度为每年16公里。在最初的两个世纪里,最大增长率可能达到了历史最高值,即每年3.4%。在动物灭绝事件期间,北美洲的人口在任何时候都无需超过60万。该模型得出的人口数量足以过度捕杀更新世大型动物的生物量,这些大型动物在半球的平均生物量为每平方公里9公吨(每区域50个动物单位),即2.3×10⁸公吨。这要求在前沿地带,每四个人中有一人每周捕杀一个动物单位(450千克),或者在任何一个区域一年内捕杀平均一个区域生物量的26%。灭绝将在十年内发生。动物没有足够的时间学会防御行为,也没有足够的时间让超过少数几个杀戮地点被掩埋并保存下来供考古学家研究。如果这个模型在未来的研究结果中成立,那就意味着更新世巨型动物的灭绝年表可用于绘制智人在整个新大陆的扩散情况。

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